#2LeVante Bellamy

RB·Western Michigan·20195.4 pts line value1st Round

LeVante Bellamy is a Featured Back for Western Michigan. LeVante's 2019 season ranks in the 80th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 275 plays — a above-average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So LeVante Bellamy's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2019 Production

Rushing

1472 Rush yards23 Rush TD266 Carries5.5 Yards/carry

Receiving

15 Receptions55 Rec yards0 Rec TD3.7 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2019 · vs RB peers

Efficiency80
Volume89
Explosiveness50
Consistency50
Receiving30

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)80th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency50th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the RB position (80th percentile).
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.15 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.90 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Bowling Green (SP+ -28).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Ameer Abdullah	Nebraska	2014	262	0.380	5.3	99.6
Blake Corum	Michigan	2023	283	0.380	5.1	107.5
Bijan Robinson	Texas	2022	276	0.390	5.9	107.6
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Royce Freeman	Oregon	2015	275	0.360	5.1	99.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsMonmouth	W48-13	—	18	53	2.9	1	—	—	—	-0.01
2	@Michigan State	L17-51	7.2	15	44	2.9	0	3	13	0	-0.15
3	vsGeorgia State	W57-10	-10.5	15	192	12.8	3	—	—	—	0.79
4	@Syracuse	L33-52	-3.0	15	165	11.0	2	3	8	0	0.19
5	vsCentral Michigan	W31-15	-4.4	25	105	4.2	1	—	—	—	-0.07
6	@Toledo	L24-31	-13.7	13	70	5.4	1	2	11	0	-0.02
7	vsMiami (OH)	W38-16	-9.2	22	135	6.1	2	3	5	0	0.10
8	@Eastern Michigan	L27-34	-8.6	28	113	4.0	3	—	—	—	0.24
9	vsBowling Green	W49-10	-27.5	17	178	10.5	4	—	—	—	0.90
11	vsBall State	W35-31	-4.5	31	157	5.1	3	1	11	0	0.36
12	@Ohio	W37-34	3.7	28	72	2.6	1	1	0	0	0.04
14	@Northern Illinois	L14-17	-13.9	21	128	6.1	2	1	5	0	0.26
1	vsWestern Kentucky	L20-23	1.7	18	60	3.3	0	1	2	0	-0.14

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

31.0%

Passing plays

5.1%

Rushing plays

54.4%

Standard downs

35.6%

Passing downs

20.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.16
Passing downs: 0.18
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.41 / 0.21

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2019 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.