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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals

Tampa Bay Buccaneers3
Cincinnati Bengals14
Q2 12:04· FOX· Paycor Stadium
Team12T
TB303
CIN14014
2020
TB
CIN
CIN
TB1st & 10at CIN 20·line to gainCIN

Last playOfficial Timeout at 12:04.

Market

Book
Exchange
-14.3
91% CIN
Volume
2917k
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means Cincinnati Bengals is favoured.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Buccaneers
Away
Our rating
1454#19
FPI rank
#172026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
Bengals
Home
Our rating
1385#26
FPI rank
#112026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating

Last meeting

Bengals 1–0
  • 2022 wk 15Bengals at Buccaneers3423Bengals

From the 2022 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Player props

exchange

The exchange lists a separate contract at every rung of a player's stat, so what you get is the market's whole probability curve rather than one posted number. The implied line is where that curve crosses 50% — the number a book would post, derived rather than quoted.

Baker MayfieldPassing yards
Implied line240.3
150+ · 94%375+ · 3%
10 rungs90,714 contracts
Baker MayfieldRushing yards
Implied line18
15+ · 63%50+ · 4%
6 rungs73,745 contracts
Bucky IrvingRushing yards
Implied line44.6
30+ · 81%130+ · 10%
11 rungs55,656 contracts2 readings smoothed
Emeka EgbukaReceiving yards
Implied line73.9
25+ · 100%130+ · 6%
11 rungs53,699 contracts
Chris Godwin Jr.Receiving yards
Implied line40.5
15+ · 88%110+ · 4%
10 rungs28,316 contracts
Chase BrownReceiving yards
Implied line15.7
15+ · 52%90+ · 2%
8 rungs26,004 contracts1 reading smoothed
Kenny GainwellRushing yards
Implied line18.8
10+ · 82%70+ · 4%
7 rungs14,134 contracts
Joe BurrowRushing yards
Implied line10.3
10+ · 58%30+ · 9%
5 rungs13,769 contracts1 reading smoothed
Bucky IrvingReceiving yards
Implied line15.1
15+ · 51%60+ · 4%
5 rungs12,106 contracts
Kenny GainwellReceiving yards
Implied line19.2
15+ · 58%70+ · 5%
5 rungs11,314 contracts1 reading smoothed
Cade OttonReceiving yards
Implied line33.1
15+ · 80%90+ · 6%
8 rungs10,232 contracts
Chase BrownRushing yards
Implied line49.5
30+ · 84%130+ · 6%
11 rungs8,604 contracts1 reading smoothed
Samaje PerineRushing yards
Implied line15.7
10+ · 53%70+ · 5%
8 rungs5,044 contracts2 readings smoothed
Andrei IosivasReceiving yards
Implied line14.5
15+ · 50%50+ · 8%
4 rungs2,072 contracts

6 more ladders hidden — too few priced rungs or too little trading behind them to read a curve from.

Order flow

6,000 trades · $707,543
Cincinnati Bengals$122.37/trade
Money93%
Trades90%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers$79.38/trade
Money7%
Trades10%

Share of money and share of trades among the side that crossed the spread to get filled, over the last 6,000 trades. This is exchange flow, not a sportsbook's handle — a different set of people, and a smaller pool.

Who has moved

consensus -3.4
VenueNowMovedvs cons.
DraftKingsunmoved-3.50-0.14
Kalshi-3.2+0.5+0.14

Movement is measured from the first price we archived (2026-08-31), not from the market open. Spreads are home-relative.

Total · 51.5

220 trades · $23,756
Over 51.5$48.87/trade
Money16%
Trades35%

Trade count ahead of money — many small orders on this side.

Under 51.5$139.18/trade
Money84%
Trades65%

Money ahead of trade count — fewer, larger orders on this side.

Read at 51.5, the strike the market itself prices nearest a coin flip. Far rungs carry more contracts but they are longshots, not a view on the total.

Notable trades

12 orders · 44% of the money
  • Cincinnati Bengals27,993 @ 0.88$24,6342864×
  • Cincinnati Bengals26,272 @ 0.82$21,5432505×
  • Cincinnati Bengals18,825 @ 0.91$17,1301992×
  • Cincinnati Bengals17,850 @ 0.88$15,7081827×
  • Cincinnati Bengals17,686 @ 0.80$14,1491645×
  • Cincinnati Bengals14,956 @ 0.87$13,0111513×
  • Cincinnati Bengals11,603 @ 0.88$10,2111187×
  • Cincinnati Bengals11,993 @ 0.82$9,8341144×
  • Cincinnati Bengals11,765 @ 0.83$9,7651135×
  • Cincinnati Bengals10,752 @ 0.88$9,4611100×
  • Cincinnati Bengals11,389 @ 0.82$9,3391086×
  • Cincinnati Bengals9,693 @ 0.87$8,433981×

Orders at least 5× the typical trade on this market (median $8.60), largest first, from the last 1,000 prints. Size, side and time are facts from the tape — who placed them, and why, is not something we can see.

Resting size

0.86 / 0.87 · 1¢ wide
72% Cincinnati BengalsTampa Bay Buccaneers 28%
$93,342 resting$37,114 resting

Dollars waiting to be filled on each side — what has not traded yet, which is the opposite of a handle figure. Resting orders can be pulled, so this is a picture of intent, not a prediction.

TB @ CIN
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