#8Ameer Abdullah

RB·Nebraska·2014 20135.3 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Ameer Abdullah is a 2-year Featured Back for Nebraska. Ameer's 2014 season ranks in the 63th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 283 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ameer Abdullah's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2014 Production

Rushing

1611 Rush yards19 Rush TD264 Carries6.1 Yards/carry

Receiving

22 Receptions269 Rec yards3 Rec TD12.2 Yards/rec

Returns

14 Kick returns392 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2014 · vs RB peers

Efficiency63
Volume88
Explosiveness62
Consistency55
Receiving52

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)63th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency55th %ile · average

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.13 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.86 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Rutgers (SP+ -2).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Blake Corum	Michigan	2023	283	0.380	5.1	107.5
Royce Freeman	Oregon	2015	275	0.360	5.1	99.0
LeVante Bellamy	Western Michigan	2019	269	0.400	5.4	107.6
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4
Jonathan Taylor	Wisconsin	2018	297	0.360	5.0	106.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsFlorida Atlantic	W55-7	-10.4	21	232	11.0	1	1	9	0	0.57
2	vsMcNeese	W31-24	—	17	54	3.2	1	3	96	1	0.27
3	@Fresno State	W55-19	-6.9	19	110	5.8	1	—	—	—	-0.06
4	vsMiami	W41-31	13.9	35	229	6.5	2	1	3	1	0.51
5	vsIllinois	W45-14	0.4	22	208	9.5	3	—	—	—	0.84
6	@Michigan State	L22-27	24.1	24	45	1.9	2	2	22	0	-0.25
8	@Northwestern	W38-17	1.5	23	146	6.3	4	4	13	0	0.17
9	vsRutgers	W42-24	-1.5	19	225	11.8	3	2	26	0	0.86
10	vsPurdue	W35-14	-6.2	6	1	0.2	0	—	—	—	-0.26
12	@Wisconsin	L24-59	20.8	18	69	3.8	0	1	26	0	-0.07
13	vsMinnesota	L24-28	6.8	20	98	4.9	1	—	—	—	0.23
14	@Iowa	W37-34	6.8	13	106	8.2	0	2	13	1	0.33
1	vsUSC	L42-45	17.1	27	88	3.3	1	6	61	0	-0.02

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

30.9%

Passing plays

8.8%

Rushing plays

46.3%

Standard downs

35.3%

Passing downs

20.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.21
Passing downs: 0.53
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.52 / 0.24

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2013 — 2014 · 26 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2013	Nebraska	3.2	0.130	—	33.3
2014	Nebraska	5.3	0.380	+0.25	99.6

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.