Dodgers at Marlins
LAD––
MIA–Not priced · First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Us vs the market
DraftKings · exchangeShown for reference only. Our side model measures at a coin flip (Brier 0.253 vs 0.250), so a gap here is not an edge — it is three independent guesses, and the two market numbers are the better-informed ones. Before first pitch the first column is the league-average home win rate, not a projection for this matchup — the per-game simulation runs once the game starts.
Exchange prices are public market data from Kalshi; book lines are from DraftKings via ESPN. Prices only — Gridpex does not accept, place, or route wagers.
- Enrique Hernández11d rest
- Justin Wrobleski11d rest
- Kyle Hurt8d rest
- Bobby Miller6d rest
- Jack Dreyer5d rest
- Alex Vesia5d rest
- Tanner Scott4d rest
rested pitched yesterday likely unavailable
- Bradley Blalock5d rest
- Michael Petersen3d rest · 8p/3d
- Jack Ralston3d rest · 13p/3d
- Josh Ekness3d rest · 18p/3d
- Tyler Zuber3d rest · 26p/3d
- Calvin Faucher3d rest · 27p/3d
- Cade Gibson1d rest · 18p/3d
rested pitched yesterday likely unavailable
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.