Skip to content

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions

New Orleans Saints0
Detroit Lions7
Q2 12:27· FOX· Ford Field
Team12T
NO000
DET707
2020
NO
DET
DET
NO1st & 10at DET 21·line to gainDET

Last playOfficial Timeout at 12:27.

Market

Book
Exchange
-5.5
71% DET
Volume
2640k
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means Detroit Lions is favoured.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Saints
Away
Our rating
1387#25
FPI rank
#242026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
Lions
Home
Our rating
1600#9
FPI rank
#72026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating

Last meeting

Lions 1–0
  • 2023 wk 13Lions at Saints3328Lions

From the 2023 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Player props

exchange

The exchange lists a separate contract at every rung of a player's stat, so what you get is the market's whole probability curve rather than one posted number. The implied line is where that curve crosses 50% — the number a book would post, derived rather than quoted.

Chris OlaveReceiving yards
Implied line77.4
40+ · 84%170+ · 3%
13 rungs65,961 contracts
Devaughn VeleReceiving yards
Implied line35.2
25+ · 70%110+ · 4%
9 rungs47,643 contracts1 reading smoothed
Jahmyr GibbsRushing yards
Implied line111.2
50+ · 100%160+ · 6%
10 rungs36,694 contracts3 readings smoothed
Jared GoffPassing yards
Implied line252
175+ · 91%400+ · 3%
10 rungs34,966 contracts1 reading smoothed
Sam LaPortaReceiving yards
Implied line56.6
15+ · 100%110+ · 3%
10 rungs29,534 contracts2 readings smoothed
Tyler ShoughPassing yards
Implied line213.8
175+ · 75%375+ · 5%
9 rungs28,041 contracts
Jahmyr GibbsReceiving yards
Implied line26.9
15+ · 78%80+ · 3%
8 rungs27,572 contracts
Travis Etienne Jr.Rushing yards
Implied line33.5
30+ · 56%110+ · 4%
8 rungs25,660 contracts
Jameson WilliamsReceiving yards
Implied line47.3
25+ · 79%130+ · 6%
11 rungs22,463 contracts1 reading smoothed
Amon-Ra St. BrownReceiving yards
Implied line64.5
40+ · 80%160+ · 7%
13 rungs20,797 contracts3 readings smoothed
Juwan JohnsonReceiving yards
Implied line30.7
25+ · 61%110+ · 3%
9 rungs17,001 contracts

4 more ladders hidden — too few priced rungs or too little trading behind them to read a curve from.

Order flow

6,000 trades · $563,396
Detroit Lions$97.88/trade
Money97%
Trades93%

Money ahead of trade count — fewer, larger orders on this side.

New Orleans Saints$43.69/trade
Money3%
Trades7%

Trade count ahead of money — many small orders on this side.

Share of money and share of trades among the side that crossed the spread to get filled, over the last 6,000 trades. This is exchange flow, not a sportsbook's handle — a different set of people, and a smaller pool.

Who has moved

consensus -6.6
VenueNowMovedvs cons.
DraftKingsunmoved-70-0.44
Kalshi-6.1+0.8+0.44

Movement is measured from the first price we archived (2026-08-31), not from the market open. Spreads are home-relative.

Total · 44.5

145 trades · $13,118
Over 44.5$118.02/trade
Money56%
Trades43%

Money ahead of trade count — fewer, larger orders on this side.

Under 44.5$69.89/trade
Money44%
Trades57%

Trade count ahead of money — many small orders on this side.

Totals trade thinly here — not enough to read a split from.

Read at 44.5, the strike the market itself prices nearest a coin flip. Far rungs carry more contracts but they are longshots, not a view on the total.

Notable trades

12 orders · 49% of the money
  • Detroit Lions14,890 @ 0.83$12,3591635×
  • Detroit Lions15,296 @ 0.71$10,8601437×
  • Detroit Lions12,211 @ 0.82$10,0131325×
  • Detroit Lions11,904 @ 0.84$9,9991323×
  • Detroit Lions11,819 @ 0.83$9,8101298×
  • Detroit Lions10,411 @ 0.87$9,0581198×
  • Detroit Lions9,581 @ 0.88$8,4321115×
  • Detroit Lions9,094 @ 0.82$7,457986×
  • Detroit Lions8,725 @ 0.85$7,416981×
  • Detroit Lions8,244 @ 0.85$7,007927×
  • Detroit Lions7,932 @ 0.85$6,742892×
  • Detroit Lions7,754 @ 0.84$6,513862×

Orders at least 5× the typical trade on this market (median $7.56), largest first, from the last 1,000 prints. Size, side and time are facts from the tape — who placed them, and why, is not something we can see.

Resting size

0.83 / 0.84 · 1¢ wide
76% Detroit LionsNew Orleans Saints 24%
$42,600 resting$13,203 resting

Dollars waiting to be filled on each side — what has not traded yet, which is the opposite of a handle figure. Resting orders can be pulled, so this is a picture of intent, not a prediction.

NO @ DET
Sign in to join the chat.