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Travis Etienne

#9Travis Etienne

RB·Clemson·20202019201820173.2 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Travis Etienne is a 4-year Pass-Catching Back for Clemson. Travis's 2020 season ranks in the 63th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 227 plays — a average rate for the RB. Production has trended downward season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Travis Etienne's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2017

4-Star · High major target
Stars
247 composite
0.9171
National rank
#216
High school
Jennings
Hometown
Jennings, LA

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2020 Production

Rushing
914 Rush yards14 Rush TD168 Carries5.4 Yards/carry
Receiving
48 Receptions588 Rec yards2 Rec TD12.3 Yards/rec
Returns
8 Kick returns189 KR yards0 KR TD1 Punt returns44 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2020 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency63
  • Volume72
  • Explosiveness48
  • Consistency75
  • Receiving87
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)63th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency75th %ile · above avg
Career trajectory:↓ Declining
Key findings
  • Production has slipped season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.12 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.86 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Virginia (SP+ 1).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.3403.997.9
James FlandersTulsa0.3904.9103.7
Dalvin CookFlorida State0.3404.399.3
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.4105.298.4
Hassan HaskinsMichigan0.3804.8106.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.8600.86Wk 2 vs Wake Forest: +0.48 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs The Citadel: +0.40 EPA/play3Wk 5 vs Virginia: +0.86 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Miami: +0.29 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Georgia Tech: +0.06 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Syracuse: +0.41 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Boston College: +0.41 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Notre Dame: -0.24 EPA/play10Wk 13 vs Pittsburgh: +0.34 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Virginia Tech: +0.09 EPA/play14Wk 16 vs Notre Dame: +0.86 EPA/play16Wk 1 vs Ohio State: +0.34 EPA/play1
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
2@Wake ForestW37-130.8171026.0134700.48
3vsThe CitadelW49-08688.5011100.40
5vsVirginiaW41-230.914735.21511410.86
6vsMiamiW42-1712.8171498.8287300.29
7@Georgia TechW73-7-1.011444.0122900.06
8vsSyracuseW47-21-9.816865.4332000.41
9vsBoston CollegeW34-280.920844.21714010.41
10@Notre DameL40-4721.018281.618570-0.24
13vsPittsburghW52-176.011585.3232000.34
14@Virginia TechW45-1013.716664.101100.09
16vsNotre DameW34-1021.01012412.4131200.86
1vsOhio StateL28-4928.410323.2146400.34

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
25.3%
Passing plays
12.1%
Rushing plays
42.2%
Standard downs
28.4%
Passing downs
18.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.24
Passing downs
0.68
Pass / Rush EPA
0.66 / 0.22

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+1.980−0.54201820192020
EPA per play · 2017 — 2020 · 54 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2017Clemson
3.2
58.9
2018Clemson
6.8
132.7
2019Clemson
4.7
100.1
2020Clemson
3.2
65.4

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.