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Travis Etienne

#9Travis Etienne

RB·Clemson·20202019201820173.2 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Travis Etienne is a 4-year Explosive Back for Clemson. Travis's 2017 season ranks in the 98th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 99 plays — a elite rate for the RB. Production has trended downward season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Travis Etienne's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2017

4-Star · High major target
Stars
247 composite
0.9171
National rank
#216
High school
Jennings
Hometown
Jennings, LA

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2017 Production

Rushing
766 Rush yards13 Rush TD107 Carries7.2 Yards/carry
Receiving
5 Receptions57 Rec yards0 Rec TD11.4 Yards/rec
Returns
19 Kick returns389 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2017 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency98
  • Volume33
  • Explosiveness84
  • Consistency71
  • Receiving21
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)98th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency71th %ile · average
Career trajectory:↓ Declining
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Production has slipped season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.29 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.25 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Boston College (SP+ 5).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Clyde Edwards-HelaireLSU0.4905.0105.8
Devon JohnsonMarshall0.5206.0108.2
Dalvin CookFlorida State0.4505.8102.6
Tyjae SpearsTulane0.4505.7105.3
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.4105.298.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.2501.25Wk 1 vs Kent State: +0.66 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Louisville: +1.05 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Boston College: +1.25 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Virginia Tech: -0.33 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Wake Forest: +0.39 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Syracuse: +0.76 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Georgia Tech: -0.14 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs NC State: +0.14 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Florida State: +0.43 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs The Citadel: +0.65 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs South Carolina: +0.38 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Miami: +0.18 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Alabama: +0.29 EPA/play1
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsKent StateW56-3-20.288110.110.66
3@LouisvilleW47-2119.269816.311.05
4vsBoston CollegeW34-74.6911312.621.25
5@Virginia TechW31-1714.38192.40-0.33
6vsWake ForestW28-1410.515674.510.39
7@SyracuseL24-274.056813.610.76
9vsGeorgia TechW24-108.97436.11-0.14
10@NC StateW38-3112.98313.9011000.14
11vsFlorida StateW31-1422.814976.9211600.43
12vsThe CitadelW61-38627.820.65
13@South CarolinaW34-107.89414.6112300.38
14vsMiamiW38-317.46244.012800.18
1vsAlabamaL6-2433.54225.500.29

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
11.4%
Passing plays
1.3%
Rushing plays
20.7%
Standard downs
13.4%
Passing downs
6.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.36
Passing downs
0.68
Pass / Rush EPA
0.65 / 0.40

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+1.980−0.54201820192020
EPA per play · 2017 — 2020 · 54 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2017Clemson
3.2
58.9
2018Clemson
6.8
132.7
2019Clemson
4.7
100.1
2020Clemson
3.2
65.4

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.