#30Bryson Washington

RB·Baylor·20242.3 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Bryson Washington is a Featured Back for Baylor. Bryson's 2024 season ranks in the 30th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 186 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Bryson Washington's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

1028 Rush yards12 Rush TD175 Carries5.9 Yards/carry

Receiving

22 Receptions217 Rec yards1 Rec TD9.9 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency30
Volume73
Explosiveness58
Consistency56
Receiving43

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)30th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency56th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.21 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.92 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Texas Tech (SP+ 4).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
3	vsAir Force	W31-3	-11.7	12	106	8.8	1	1	23	0	0.01
4	@Colorado	L31-38	8.1	10	21	2.1	0	2	14	0	-0.18
5	vsBYU	L28-34	15.3	13	31	2.4	0	6	37	0	0.17
6	@Iowa State	L21-43	10.3	8	28	3.5	0	1	23	0	-0.07
8	@Texas Tech	W59-35	4.3	10	116	11.6	2	3	24	0	0.92
9	vsOklahoma State	W38-28	-2.6	17	78	4.6	0	—	—	—	-0.04
10	vsTCU	W37-34	10.8	26	196	7.5	4	2	22	0	0.48
12	@West Virginia	W49-35	2.1	18	123	6.8	3	5	59	1	0.55
13	@Houston	W20-10	-8.2	28	113	4.0	0	1	1	0	0.01
14	vsKansas	W45-17	4.9	28	192	6.9	2	1	14	0	0.47
20	vsLSU	L31-44	15.9	5	24	4.8	0	—	—	—	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

25.6%

Passing plays

6.1%

Rushing plays

44.2%

Standard downs

30.8%

Passing downs

12.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.25
Passing downs: 0.30
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.61 / 0.21

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2024 · 11 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.