@ Arkansas · Wk 3Win prob 89%Model -19.0Schedule & Results
WKUWestern KentuckyW70-20✓Wk 3@ARKArkansas-19.089%Wk 4vs
OUOklahoma-7.369%Wk 5vs
VANVanderbilt-14.383%Wk 6@
ALAAlabama-11.277%Wk 7vs
AUBAuburn-18.489%Wk 9vs
FLAFlorida-15.084%Wk 10@
MISSOle Miss+3.441%Wk 11vs
MIZMissouri-10.074%Wk 12@
SCSouth Carolina-10.576%Wk 13vs
GTGeorgia Tech-26.196%SEC Standings
Standings →
Team Leaders
Gunner StocktonPassing436 yds · 8 TD · 0 INT
Nate FrazierRushing127 yds · 4 TD · 12.7 avg
Sacovie WhiteReceiving4 rec · 104 yds · 1 TD
AJ KruahTackles7 tackles · 1 TFL · 0 sacks
Latest on Georgia
All news →Nothing has changed since Georgia won this 48-12
Georgia Scored Nine Touchdowns and Ran One Goal-Line Snap All Night
Georgia Won by 38 Without Doing Anything Out of the Ordinary
We Liked Georgia by a Touchdown. Notre Dame Had Other Ideas.
Roster · 128 players
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ryan Puglisi | QB | JR | 6'3" | 210 | Paxton, MA |
| 14 | Gunner Stockton | QB | SR | 6'1" | 215 | Tiger, GA |
| 15 | Ryan Montgomery | QB | SO | 6'3" | 215 | Findlay, OH |
| 17 | Colter Ginn | QB | JR | 6'3" | 205 | Perry, GA |
| 18 | Bryson Beaver | QB | FR | 6'3" | 205 | Murrieta, CA |
| 19 | Hezekiah Millender | QB | SO | 6'3" | 205 | Goodyear, AZ |
| 25 | Jake Bobo | QB | SO | 6'0" | 200 | Athens, GA |
| 3 | Nate Frazier | RB | JR | 5'10" | 205 | Compton, CA |
| 5 | Chauncey Bowens | RB | JR | 5'11" | 225 | Port Saint Lucie, FL |
| 20 | Dwight Phillips Jr. | RB | JR | 5'10" | 185 | Mableton, GA |
| 22 | Dante Dowdell | RB | SR | 6'2" | 225 | Picayune, MS |
| 24 | Bo Walker | RB | SO | 5'9" | 210 | Ellenwood, GA |
| 26 | Micah Bell | RB | SR | 5'10" | 185 | Houston, TX |
| 27 | Jae Lamar | RB | FR | 5'11" | 205 | Moultrie, GA |
| 30 | Nick Peal | RB | FR | 5'10" | 199 | Roswell, GA |
| 31 | Wade Penn | RB | JR | 5'10" | 200 | Atlanta, GA |
| 0 | Sacovie White-Helton | WR | JR | 5'9" | 180 | Cartersville, GA |
| 1 | Talyn Taylor | WR | SO | 6'0" | 190 | Geneva, IL |
| 2 | Thomas Blackshear | WR | SO | 6'1" | 200 | Savannah, GA |
| 4 | CJ Wiley | WR | SO | 6'4" | 210 | Baton Rouge, LA |
| 6 | Isiah Canion | WR | JR | 6'4" | 205 | Warner Robins, GA |
| 8 | Landon Roldan | WR | SO | 6'0" | 185 | Bogart, GA |
| 11 | Jeremy Bell | WR | JR | 6'0" | 175 | Homerville, GA |
| 13 | Tyler J. Williams | WR | SO | 6'2" | 205 | Tampa, FL |
| 16 | London Humphreys | WR | SR | 6'2" | 200 | Nashville, TN |
| 28 | Walter Blanchard | WR | SR | 6'1" | 195 | Columbus, GA |
| 36 | Jackson St. Clair | WR | SO | 5'9" | 165 | Perry, GA |
| 37 | Benjamin McElreath | WR | SO | 5'11" | 175 | Macon, GA |
| 46 | Danny Curran | WR | SR | 6'1" | 190 | Marietta, GA |
| 47 | Will Taylor | WR | SR | 6'2" | 195 | Milton, GA |
| 81 | Craig Dandridge | WR | FR | 6'1" | 185 | Memphis, TN |
| 83 | Brody Tolbert | WR | SO | 6'1" | 180 | Athens, GA |
| 84 | Dallas Dickerson | WR | FR | 6'0" | 185 | Athens, GA |
| 85 | Ryan Mosley | WR | FR | 6'2" | 205 | Carrollton, GA |
| 86 | Tre Shields | WR | FR | 6'1" | 189 | Flowery Branch, GA |
| 7 | Lawson Luckie | TE | SR | 6'4" | 240 | Norcross, GA |
| 9 | Ethan Barbour | TE | SO | 6'3" | 235 | Alpharetta, GA |
| 10 | Elyiss Williams | TE | SO | 6'7" | 255 | Kingsland, GA |
| 23 | Jaden Reddell | TE | JR | 6'4" | 240 | Raymore, MO |
| 41 | David Lalaian | TE | SR | 6'2" | 225 | Monroe, GA |
| 80 | Kaiden Prothro | TE | FR | 6'6" | 230 | Bowdon, GA |
| 82 | Colton Heinrich | TE | JR | 6'4" | 235 | Coral Springs, FL |
| 87 | Lincoln Keyes | TE | FR | 6'6" | 250 | Saline, MI |
| 88 | Brayden Fogle | TE | FR | 6'4" | 250 | Lexington, OH |
| 50 | Cortez Smith | OL | SO | 6'3" | 320 | Lilburn, GA |
| 51 | Malachi Toliver | OL | JR | 6'5" | 320 | Cartersville, GA |
| 52 | Michael Uini | OL | JR | 6'7" | 325 | Kempner, TX |
| 53 | Zach Lewis | OL | FR | 6'4" | 290 | Suwanee, GA |
| 54 | Waltclaire Flynn Jr. | OL | JR | 6'2" | 290 | Grayson, GA |
| 60 | Henry Peagler | OL | JR | 6'3" | 290 | Blackshear, GA |
| 63 | Dontrell Glover | OL | SO | 6'3" | 320 | Fairburn, GA |
| 64 | Jahzare Jackson | OL | JR | 6'10" | 350 | San Diego, CA |
| 65 | Dennis Uzochukwu | OL | SO | 6'5" | 300 | Lawrenceville, GA |
| 66 | Tyreek Jemison | OL | FR | 6'4" | 325 | Dallas, GA |
| 69 | Graham Houston | OL | FR | 6'4" | 315 | Buford, GA |
| 70 | Daniel Calhoun | OL | JR | 6'6" | 325 | Marietta, GA |
| 71 | Earnest Greene III | OL | SR | 6'4" | 320 | Los Angeles, CA |
| 72 | Ekene Ogboko | OL | FR | 6'6" | 320 | Durham, NC |
| 73 | Juan Gaston | OL | SO | 6'7" | 360 | Atlanta, GA |
| 74 | Drew Bobo | OL | SR | 6'5" | 305 | Auburn, AL |
| 75 | Mason Short | OL | SO | 6'6" | 310 | Evans, GA |
| 76 | Marcus Harrison | OL | JR | 6'8" | 330 | Buffalo, NY |
| 78 | Tate Nelms | OL | JR | 6'3" | 285 | Woodstock, GA |
| 79 | TyQuez Richardson | OL | JR | 6'5" | 325 | Atlanta, GA |
| 55 | Zykie Helton | C | FR | 6'3" | 300 | Carrollton, GA |
| 29 | Isaiah Gibson | DE | SO | 6'4" | 255 | Warner Robins, GA |
| 91 | Justin Greene | DE | JR | 6'4" | 275 | Dacula, GA |
| 33 | PJ Dean | DL | FR | 6'4" | 255 | Winston-Salem, NC |
| 38 | Anthony Lonon Jr. | DL | FR | 6'2" | 275 | Athens, GA |
| 41 | Carter Luckie | DL | FR | 6'5" | 275 | Norcross, GA |
| 44 | Jordan Hall | DL | SR | 6'4" | 320 | Jacksonville, FL |
| 52 | Valdin Sone | DL | FR | 6'4" | 305 | Malmo |
| 55 | London Seymour | DL | SO | 6'4" | 305 | Suwanee, GA |
| 56 | Nasir Johnson | DL | JR | 6'5" | 340 | Dublin, GA |
| 67 | Clinton Barlow | DL | SR | 6'4" | 315 | Charlotte, NC |
| 90 | Elijah Griffin | DL | SO | 6'4" | 310 | Pooler, GA |
| 92 | Preston Carey | DL | FR | 6'4" | 300 | Bradenton, FL |
| 95 | Nnamdi Ogboko | DL | JR | 6'4" | 340 | Durham, NC |
| 96 | JJ Hanne | DL | SO | 6'4" | 290 | Berlin |
| 99 | Joseph Jonah-Ajonye | DL | JR | 6'4" | 275 | Shenandoah, TX |
| 81 | Josh Horton | DT | SR | 6'4" | 305 | Fairburn, GA |
| 0 | Gabe Harris Jr. | LB | SR | 6'4" | 260 | Thomasville, GA |
| 3 | Quintavius Johnson | LB | JR | 6'4" | 255 | Atlanta, GA |
| 5 | Raylen Wilson | LB | SR | 6'1" | 235 | Tallahassee, FL |
| 9 | Chris Cole | LB | JR | 6'3" | 235 | Salem, VA |
| 10 | Zayden Walker | LB | SO | 6'1" | 225 | Ellaville, GA |
| 11 | Darren Ikinnagbon | LB | SO | 6'5" | 255 | Hillside, NJ |
| 13 | AJ Kruah | LB | SO | 6'1" | 225 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 15 | Khamari Brooks | LB | FR | 6'3" | 245 | Bogart, GA |
| 17 | Amaris Williams | LB | JR | 6'3" | 255 | Fayetteville, NC |
| 19 | Justin Williams | LB | JR | 6'2" | 225 | Conroe, TX |
| 30 | Terrell Foster | LB | SR | 6'1" | 220 | Kennesaw, GA |
| 35 | Elijah Littlejohn | LB | FR | 6'2" | 225 | Charlotte, NC |
| 42 | Nick Abrams II | LB | FR | 6'2" | 225 | Baltimore, MD |
| 45 | Terrence Penick Jr. | LB | FR | 6'1" | 215 | Snellville, GA |
| 46 | Eli Barrow | LB | JR | 5'10" | 220 | Cedartown, GA |
| 48 | Duncan Carpenter | LB | SO | 6'3" | 225 | Dalton, GA |
| 85 | Chase Linton | LB | SO | 6'4" | 230 | Atlanta, GA |
| 16 | Maurice Hayes | CB | JR | 6'0" | 180 | Perry, GA |
| 1 | Ellis Robinson IV | DB | JR | 6'0" | 180 | New Haven, CT |
| 4 | KJ Bolden | DB | JR | 6'0" | 195 | Buford, GA |
| 6 | Justice Fitzpatrick | DB | FR | 6'1" | 195 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 8 | Demello Jones | DB | JR | 6'1" | 185 | Swainsboro, GA |
| 18 | Caden Harris | DB | FR | 6'0" | 180 | Brownsville, TN |
| 24 | Braylon Conley | DB | JR | 6'1" | 195 | Houston, TX |
| 25 | Jontae Gilbert | DB | SO | 6'1" | 190 | Atlanta, GA |
| 26 | Gentry Williams | DB | SR | 5'11" | 190 | Tulsa, OK |
| 28 | Jordan Smith | DB | FR | 6'2" | 200 | Warner Robins, GA |
| 31 | Kyron Jones | DB | SR | 6'0" | 205 | Charlotte, NC |
| 32 | Jaylan Morgan | DB | SO | 6'0" | 195 | Murfreesboro, TN |
| 2 | Zion Branch | S | SR | 6'2" | 210 | Las Vegas, NV |
| 7 | Khalil Barnes | S | SR | 6'0" | 200 | Athens, GA |
| 12 | Ja'Marley Riddle | S | JR | 6'0" | 185 | Kingsland, GA |
| 14 | Rasean Dinkins | S | SO | 5'11" | 190 | Warner Robins, GA |
| 20 | Zech Fort | S | FR | 5'11" | 200 | Long Beach, CA |
| 22 | Todd Robinson | S | SO | 5'11" | 205 | Valdosta, GA |
| 23 | Tyriq Green | S | FR | 5'11" | 200 | Atlanta, GA |
| 27 | Blake Stewart | S | FR | 6'0" | 190 | Atlanta, GA |
| 36 | Daniel Okonkwo | S | FR | 6'0" | 205 | Powder Springs, GA |
| 91 | Peyton Woodring | PK | SR | 5'10" | 190 | Lafayette, LA |
| 94 | Henry Bates | PK | SR | 5'11" | 190 | Waycross, GA |
| 98 | Connor Ferguson | PK | SO | 5'9" | 155 | Savannah, GA |
| 99 | Harran Zureikat | PK | FR | 6'1" | 190 | Pittsburgh, PA |
| 90 | Drew Miller | P | JR | 6'2" | 210 | Mediapolis, IA |
| 93 | Carter Horton | P | SR | 6'5" | 215 | Perry, GA |
| 97 | Wade Register | P | FR | 6'3" | 225 | Dublin, GA |
| 50 | Colton Dermer | LS | FR | 6'2" | 230 | Glendale, AZ |
| 51 | Will Snellings | LS | SR | 6'2" | 225 | Fayetteville, GA |
Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Scouting Report · 2026 projection
Georgia is in year 11 under Kirby Smart, whose offenses have been balanced. The strengths are offensive, led by 4th on first and second down. The way in is 124th at hitting chunk plays.
On fourth down he goes for it about as often as his peers do from the same spots (−2.3%). Against what the expected-points model recommends he is −41.1% — the profession as a whole is negative on this.
Georgia has not played an FBS opponent yet, so this is the projection: last season regressed toward the mean, plus returning production, recruiting, talent and whether the staff is the same one.
Projected strengths
- Offensefirst and second down#4projected
- Offensestaying on schedule through the air#6projected
- Offenseturning trips inside the 40 into points#6projected
Projected soft spots
- Offensehitting chunk plays#124projected
Each bar is where this team sits in the country. Before the season has produced enough football these are PROJECTIONS — last season regressed to the mean, plus talent, returning production, recruiting and whether the staff is the same one — and the season replaces them as it is played. Head coaches only — there is no free feed for coordinators, so on a program where the head coach does not call the offense this describes the staff he hired. Play-calling identity is a style, not a grade: throwing more than the situations warrant is not better than throwing less than they warrant.
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 10 to playHow the season could finish · 2026 · chance of each final win total · 10 games left
Every remaining game simulated from the model's win probability for it. Tallest bar is the single likeliest finish, not a prediction that it happens.
Player Value
EPA contribution by position group + estimated NIL market value (derived from position rates and on-field production — not actual deal figures).
Total EPA produced by each positional group this season. OL value is captured via the rush/pass efficiency of skill players; OL-specific EPA isn't separately reported.
Estimated from position-group market rates and on-field EPA contribution. Actual NIL valuations depend on social media following, brand fit, and market negotiations — these figures are directional only.
The Five Factors
ranked vs. FBS · bar = betterOpponent-adjusted efficiency
EPA/play vs. schedulePass vs. rush (PPA)
Trenches & disruption
- Line yards (off)
- 5.30#1
- 2nd-level / open-field
- 2.25 / 4.60
- Power / stuff (off)
- 100.0% / 0.0%
- Havoc — total (def)
- 19.5%#37
- Havoc — front 7 / DB
- 13.5% / 6.0%
Standard vs. passing downs
ProPPA on each down type (off vs. def).
Opponent-adjusted by down
Pro| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 0.81#2 | 0.74#7 | 2.10#1 |
| Defense | -0.23#23 | -0.55#1 | 0.28#60 |
Elo Trajectory
Team Fingerprint · 2026 · 31 opponent-adjusted metrics · percentile vs 138 FBS teams
Plot these →Efficiency
- Offense EPA/play0.7499th
- Defense EPA/play allowed-0.1077th
- Offense success rate70%99th
- Defense success rate allowed31%72nd
Downs
- Offense success — standard downs76%99th
- Offense success — passing downs50%88th
- Defense success allowed — standard downs42%49th
- Defense success allowed — passing downs15%87th
Explosiveness
- Offense explosiveness1.370th
- Defense explosiveness allowed0.9191st
- Offense explosiveness — standard downs1.275th
- Offense explosiveness — passing downs2.271st
Trenches
- Offense line yards4.799th
- Defense line yards allowed1.391st
- Offense highlight yards3.897th
- Defense highlight yards allowed0.0099th
- Offense power success1.099th
- Defense power success allowed0.5079th
- Offense stuff rate0.0788th
- Defense stuff rate0.3491st
Third down
- Third down conversion67%96th
- Third down distance faced6.561st
- Third down conversion allowed38%47th
- Third down distance forced7.861st
Halves
- Net success rate — first half0.4897th
- Net success rate — second half0.3288th
Roster
- Returning usage74%88th
- Returning EPA24890th
- Team talent composite100499th
- Recruiting class rank6.096th
- Recruiting class points29296th
Every metric is opponent-adjusted and ranked so that higher is always better — a defensive rate that is good when low is ranked accordingly. Sack and tackle-for-loss composition are deliberately absent: their relationship to team quality is a measured null, so they carry a style rather than a rank, and they appear in the pressure signature instead.
Intelligence Report
Offensive DNA
Pass efficiency edge: 0.187 EPA/play
Defensive Identity
Disruption comes primarily from the front seven.
Season Signature
2-0 record through 2 games.
Team Shape · percentile vs. FBS · dashed = 50th
Each axis = national percentile rank. 100th = best in FBS, 0th = worst. Defense and Havoc are oriented so higher = better.
CORE efficiency · situation and opponent removed
Points per 100 plays above average, after the game state is regressed out of every snap and the schedule is solved out across the whole league. The version of this team’s efficiency that can be compared to a team it never played.
National Landscape · 2026 FBS · offense vs. defense EPA/play
Each dot = one FBS team. Georgia is highlighted. Tap or hover a dot for details.
Similar Programs
Teams with the closest offense + defense efficiency profile to Georgia in 2026
Similarity = normalized Euclidean distance on season offensive and defensive EPA/play. Teams within ±0.02 EPA/play on both units score >90%.
Program Trajectory · CORE rating · 2015–2026 · points per game vs an average FBS team
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 100% | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 12-2 | 7-1 | 86% | 10.3 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 11-3 | 7-2 | 79% | 9.7 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 13-1 | 8-1 | 93% | 12.6 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 15-0 | 9-0 | 100% | 14.4 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 14-1 | 8-1 | 93% | 13.9 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 8-2 | 7-2 | 80% | 7.5 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 12-2 | 7-2 | 86% | 11.5 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 11-3 | 7-2 | 79% | 11.6 | -0.6 |
| 2017 | 13-2 | 8-2 | 87% | 12.3 | +0.7 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).
0-0 so far, projected to finish 9.7-2.7. Top-four bye in 28%. Wins the SEC in 21%.
If they finish with…
Their chance of making it at each final loss count. Better than even up to 2.
Win out and it is 100%. Running the table settles it.
down 1.5 points since preseason.
- At 3 losses they are 29% where the average SEC team is 41%.
- The SEC takes 3.83 bids in an average season, and four or more in 65%.
Georgia’s own turning points
Points of playoff probability between winning and losing.
- wk13vs Georgia Tech42.1
- wk6at Alabama41.5
- wk7vs Auburn41.4
- wk12at South Carolina41.2
- wk5vs Vanderbilt41.0
- wk4vs Oklahoma40.9
Who to root for
Games Georgia is not in that move its odds most. Same units, much smaller scale.
- wk11Minnesota over Penn State2.3
- wk11Oklahoma State over Texas Tech2.2
- wk6Sacramento State over Bowling Green2.2
- wk3New Mexico over Oklahoma2.1
- wk4Purdue over Notre Dame2.0
- wk9Northwestern over Oregon2.0
SEC
0-0 in league play, projected 6.6-2.41 of 16 by title oddsThe SEC sends its top two by conference winning percentage, head-to-head breaking a tie. The last berth is level on percentage in 48% of simulated seasons, so a tiebreaker decides it about that often.
- wk6Georgia at Alabama23.1
- wk9Florida at Georgia21.8
- wk4Oklahoma at Georgia21.5
- wk12Georgia at South Carolina21.0
Points of title probability riding on each result. The whole SEC race →
If not the playoff, then
Georgia is 1-0 and needs 5 more wins from 11 games to reach the six that make a team eligible — at most one of which may come against an FCS opponent.
- Citrus Bowl8.6%
- ReliaQuest Bowl7.2%
- Gator Bowl5.9%
- Duke's Mayo Bowl5.1%
- Music City Bowl4.2%
- Texas Bowl3.3%
Recruiting Pipelines
since 2010Of the 170 high-school programs with a pipeline page here, 25 have sent Georgia a player since 2010 — 67 signees between them. Where they signed, not where they were offered, and not a complete list of Georgia's feeder schools: only these 170 have the outcome history to measure.