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Trey Benson
Trey Benson

#3Trey Benson

RB·Florida State·202320222.3 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Trey Benson is a 2-year Explosive Back for Florida State. Trey's 2022 season ranks in the 40th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 158 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Trey Benson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2022 Production

Rushing
990 Rush yards9 Rush TD154 Carries6.4 Yards/carry
Receiving
13 Receptions144 Rec yards0 Rec TD11.1 Yards/rec
Returns
5 Kick returns192 KR yards1 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2022 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency40
  • Volume54
  • Explosiveness68
  • Consistency78
  • Receiving38
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)40th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency78th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Peak game: 0.60 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Miami (SP+ -3).

NIL Market Tier· 2022

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Travis EtienneClemson0.4704.7100.1
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.3403.997.9
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.4105.298.4
Clyde Edwards-HelaireLSU0.4905.0105.8
James FlandersTulsa0.3904.9103.7

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.600−0.60Wk 1 vs Duquesne: +0.52 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs LSU: +0.52 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Louisville: +0.44 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Boston College: +0.19 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Wake Forest: +0.11 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs NC State: +0.04 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Clemson: +0.14 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Georgia Tech: +0.33 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Miami: +0.60 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Syracuse: +0.40 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Louisiana: +0.20 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Florida: +0.20 EPA/play13Wk 1 vs Oklahoma: -0.12 EPA/play1
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsDuquesneW47-7—111059.51———0.52
1vsLSUW24-2316.26152.50———0.52
3@LouisvilleW35-319.010707.00———0.44
4vsBoston CollegeW44-14-14.910787.821600.19
5vsWake ForestL21-318.24102.502900.11
6@NC StateL17-196.86254.202600.04
7vsClemsonL28-3417.67699.90———0.14
9vsGeorgia TechW41-16-11.8181116.2011000.33
10@MiamiW45-3-2.7151288.5212500.60
11@SyracuseW38-32.5181639.102300.40
12vsLouisianaW49-172.016805.011100.20
13vsFloridaW45-3810.4201115.6325100.20
1vsOklahomaW35-3215.413251.901330-0.12

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
18.9%
Passing plays
3.9%
Rushing plays
31.6%
Standard downs
22.1%
Passing downs
11.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.26
Passing downs
0.08
Pass / Rush EPA
0.29 / 0.22

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+0.900−0.352023
EPA per play · 2022 — 2023 · 26 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2022Florida State
2.3
46.8
2023Florida State
2.1
46.7

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.