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Samaje Perine

#32Samaje Perine

RB·Oklahoma·2016201520146.8 pts line value1st Round

Samaje Perine is a 3-year Featured Back for Oklahoma. Samaje's 2014 season ranks in the 80th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 241 plays — a above-average rate for the RB. Production has trended downward season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Samaje Perine's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2014

4-Star · High major target
Stars
247 composite
0.9070
National rank
#249
High school
Hendrickson
Hometown
Pflugerville, TX

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2014 Production

Rushing
1713 Rush yards21 Rush TD263 Carries6.5 Yards/carry
Receiving
15 Receptions108 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2014 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency80
  • Volume83
  • Explosiveness70
  • Consistency58
  • Receiving24
Player type
Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)80th %ile · above avg
Game-to-game consistency58th %ile · average
Career trajectory:↓ Declining
Key findings
  • Above-average efficiency for the RB position (80th percentile).
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
  • Production has slipped season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.
  • 4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Peak game: 0.94 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Kansas (SP+ -10).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
RJ HarveyUCF0.4706.9113.7
Blake CorumMichigan0.4506.5119.7
Tyler AllgeierBYU0.4406.3119.2
DeWayne McBrideUAB0.4205.8101.6
Dalvin CookFlorida State0.4505.8102.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.9400.94Wk 1 vs Louisiana Tech: +0.39 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Tulsa: -0.24 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Tennessee: +0.74 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs West Virginia: +0.48 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs TCU: +0.08 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Texas: -0.02 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Kansas State: -0.03 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Iowa State: +0.17 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Baylor: -0.14 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Texas Tech: +0.53 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Kansas: +0.94 EPA/play13Wk 15 vs Oklahoma State: +0.20 EPA/play15Wk 1 vs Clemson: +0.03 EPA/play1
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsLouisiana TechW48-16-1.713775.910.39
2@TulsaW52-7-15.810333.30160-0.24
3vsTennesseeW34-1012.29677.4011300.74
4@West VirginiaW45-338.4342427.140.48
6@TCUL33-3723.325873.531800.08
7vsTexasW31-269.018623.41260-0.02
8vsKansas StateL30-3116.324893.71270-0.03
10@Iowa StateW59-14-7.9171106.5131500.17
11vsBaylorL14-4823.95214.20-0.14
12@Texas TechW42-304.9252138.530.53
13vsKansasW44-7-9.83442712.6511900.94
15vsOklahoma StateL35-388.6261515.8211200.20
1vsClemsonL6-4018.1231345.8032200.03

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
29.1%
Passing plays
3.8%
Rushing plays
48.1%
Standard downs
35.8%
Passing downs
14.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.27
Passing downs
0.33
Pass / Rush EPA
0.80 / 0.25

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+1.070−0.4520152016
EPA per play · 2014 — 2016 · 36 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2014Oklahoma
6.8
121.3
2015Oklahoma
3.7
76.8
2016Oklahoma
3.0
70.7

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.