#23Devontae Booker

RB·Utah·2015 20142.1 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Devontae Booker is a 2-year Featured Back for Utah. Devontae's 2014 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 333 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Devontae Booker's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2014 Production

Rushing

1512 Rush yards10 Rush TD292 Carries5.2 Yards/carry

Receiving

43 Receptions306 Rec yards2 Rec TD7.1 Yards/rec

Returns

3 Kick returns57 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2014 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Explosiveness44
Consistency37
Receiving60

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency37th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.19 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.95 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Idaho State.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Donnel Pumphrey	San Diego State	2016	344	0.320	4.2	110.1
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Eno Benjamin	Arizona State	2018	316	0.330	4.6	104.3
Jeremy McNichols	Boise State	2016	340	0.330	4.7	112.2

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsIdaho State	W56-14	—	10	78	7.8	2	1	61	0	0.95
2	vsFresno State	W59-27	-6.9	10	67	6.7	0	—	—	—	0.06
4	@Michigan	W26-10	8.2	11	34	3.1	0	2	9	0	-0.21
5	vsWashington State	L27-28	-1.7	24	178	7.4	1	2	-4	0	0.13
6	@UCLA	W30-28	17.7	33	156	4.7	1	3	15	0	0.18
8	@Oregon State	W29-23	3.2	32	229	7.2	3	2	-3	0	0.35
9	vsUSC	W24-21	17.1	26	102	3.9	1	1	17	0	-0.06
10	@Arizona State	L16-19	13.5	37	146	3.9	0	2	6	1	-0.01
11	vsOregon	L27-51	24.7	18	65	3.6	0	8	110	1	0.14
12	@Stanford	W20-17	21.4	17	58	3.4	0	9	41	0	-0.14
13	vsArizona	L10-42	7.6	23	142	6.2	0	4	8	0	0.03
14	@Colorado	W38-34	-5.0	25	95	3.8	1	5	22	0	0.17
1	vsColorado State	W45-10	4.5	26	162	6.2	1	4	24	0	0.15

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

35.3%

Passing plays

11.7%

Rushing plays

54.5%

Standard downs

40.3%

Passing downs

24.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.09
Passing downs: 0.20
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.20 / 0.10

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2014 — 2015 · 23 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2014	Utah	2.1	0.210	—	61.5
2015	Utah	1.9	0.210	—	58.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.