#8Adam Randall

RB·Clemson·2025

Adam Randall is a Pass-Catching Back for Clemson. Adam's 2025 season ranks in the 8th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 213 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Adam Randall's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

814 Rush yards10 Rush TD168 Carries4.8 Yards/carry

Receiving

36 Receptions254 Rec yards3 Rec TD7.1 Yards/rec

Returns

9 Kick returns213 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency8
Volume70
Explosiveness36
Consistency53
Receiving75

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)8th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency53th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.31 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.66 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs LSU (SP+ 10).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Eno Benjamin	Arizona State	2018	316	0.330	4.6	104.3
Donnel Pumphrey	San Diego State	2016	344	0.320	4.2	110.1

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsLSU	L10-17	10.3	5	16	3.2	1	2	14	0	0.66
2	vsTroy	W27-16	-4.8	21	112	5.3	1	4	23	0	0.06
3	@Georgia Tech	L21-24	9.3	15	80	5.3	1	—	—	—	0.40
4	vsSyracuse	L21-34	-13.1	16	130	8.1	0	7	44	1	0.35
6	@North Carolina	W38-10	-6.6	8	30	3.8	0	4	73	2	0.52
7	@Boston College	W41-10	-8.5	10	36	3.6	1	2	9	0	0.04
8	vsSMU	L24-35	13.4	10	29	2.9	0	5	19	0	-0.02
10	vsDuke	L45-46	6.6	16	89	5.6	2	1	10	0	0.19
11	vsFlorida State	W24-10	7.2	15	48	3.2	0	1	20	0	-0.18
12	@Louisville	W20-19	12.4	15	105	7.0	2	3	27	0	0.40
13	vsFurman	W45-10	—	2	2	1.0	0	1	8	0	-0.29
14	@South Carolina	W28-14	5.9	24	102	4.3	1	1	-1	0	0.00
20	vsPenn State	L10-22	18.1	11	35	3.2	1	5	8	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

24.5%

Passing plays

10.1%

Rushing plays

43.4%

Standard downs

27.6%

Passing downs

16.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.17
Passing downs: 0.07
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.14 / 0.16

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).