Temple vs. Oklahoma: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
TEMTeam statsOU
- Q4 3:11OUTaylor Tatum 8 Yd Run (Tyler Keltner Kick)3–51
- Q4 11:44OUJaren Kanak 21 Yd Fumble Return (Tyler Keltner Kick)3–44
- Q3 3:07TEMMaddux Trujillo 49 Yd Field Goal 3–37
- Q3 7:53OUTyler Keltner 24 Yd Field Goal 0–37
- Q2 0:36OUDeion Burks 5 Yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Tyler Keltner Kick)0–34
- Q2 5:28OUDeion Burks 8 Yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Tyler Keltner Kick)0–27
- Q2 8:05OUTyler Keltner 42 Yd Field Goal 0–20
- Q1 0:43OUTyler Keltner 50 Yd Field Goal 0–17
- Q1 8:07OUDeion Burks 14 Yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Tyler Keltner Kick)0–14
- Q1 11:17OUBauer Sharp 14 Yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Tyler Keltner Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassForrest Brock 12/25, 128 YDS, 2 INT
- RushE.J. Wilson 6 CAR, 31 YDS
- RecDante Wright 3 REC, 36 YDS
- PassJackson Arnold 17/25, 141 YDS, 4 TD
- RushTaylor Tatum 5 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
- RecBauer Sharp 5 REC, 47 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsOU up 34 entering the 4th quarter. Across 342 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Temple vs. Oklahoma?
Temple 3, Oklahoma 51.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (OU) was correct.
| TEM | OU | |
|---|---|---|
| 197 | Total yards | 378 |
| 128 | Passing yards | 158 |
| 69 | Rushing yards | 220 |
| 13 | First downs | 18 |
| 4-13 | 3rd down | 1-12 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 3-3 |
| 12/25 | Comp/Att | 19/29 |
| 5.1 | Yards per pass | 5.4 |
| 1.9 | Yards per rush | 6.1 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 8-46 | Penalties | 7-62 |
| 31:31 | Possession | 28:29 |
Costliest call
Q3 10:19 TEM punt on 4th & 1 at TEM 21. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.90 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 3:11OUTaylor Tatum 8 Yd Run (Tyler Keltner Kick)3–51
- Q4 11:44OUJaren Kanak 21 Yd Fumble Return (Tyler Keltner Kick)3–44
- Q3 3:07TEMMaddux Trujillo 49 Yd Field Goal 3–37
- Q3 7:53OUTyler Keltner 24 Yd Field Goal 0–37
- Q2 0:36OUDeion Burks 5 Yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Tyler Keltner Kick)0–34
- Q2 5:28OUDeion Burks 8 Yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Tyler Keltner Kick)0–27
- Q2 8:05OUTyler Keltner 42 Yd Field Goal 0–20
- Q1 0:43OUTyler Keltner 50 Yd Field Goal 0–17
- Q1 8:07OUDeion Burks 14 Yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Tyler Keltner Kick)0–14
- Q1 11:17OUBauer Sharp 14 Yd pass from Jackson Arnold (Tyler Keltner Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (OU Elo 1786, TEM Elo 1178 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects OU -26.7 (95% to win) — 16.3 points clear of TEM's market line of -43. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2024
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| TEM | OU | |
|---|---|---|
| -22.5 (#127) | CORE overall | +9.3 (#37) |
| -19 / +4 | offense / defense | -5 / -14 |
| 1.37 | points / drive | 1.42 |
| 2.45 | allowed / drive | 1.58 |
| 36% | three-and-outs | 29% |
| +2 | pass over expected | -4 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →