@ Toledo · Wk 3Win prob 39%Model +4.8Schedule & Results
Team Leaders
Ajani SheppardPassing133 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
Keveun MasonRushing234 yds · 2 TD · 6.9 avg
Jayce FreemanReceiving2 rec · 57 yds · 1 TD
Curly OrdonezTackles20 tackles · 1 TFL · 1 sacks
Latest on Temple
All news →Temple's run game has nowhere to go
Keveun Mason ran for 158 yards and Temple did not need much else
Roster · 119 players
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Camren Boykin | QB | SO | 6'2" | 190 | Upper Marlboro, MD |
| 13 | Ajani Sheppard | QB | SR | 6'2" | 230 | Bronx, NY |
| 14 | Jaxon Smolik | QB | JR | 6'1" | 205 | Van Meter, IA |
| 15 | Brody Norman | QB | FR | 6'0" | 190 | Mooresville, NC |
| 16 | Brady Palmer | QB | FR | 6'2" | 215 | Bloomingdale, IL |
| 19 | Lamar Best | QB | FR | 6'0" | 175 | Willingboro, NJ |
| 20 | R.J. Blount | RB | FR | 5'11" | 205 | Pennsauken, NJ |
| 21 | De'Carlos Young | RB | SO | 5'11" | 210 | Palmer Park, MD |
| 22 | Johnny Martin | RB | SR | 5'10" | 200 | Lawnside, NJ |
| 23 | Jordan Miller | RB | JR | 5'7" | 185 | Bear, DE |
| 25 | Ameir Morrow | RB | FR | 5'11" | 210 | Brooklyn, NY |
| 26 | Keveun Mason | RB | SO | 5'10" | 190 | Fort Meade, FL |
| 27 | Samuel Brown V | RB | SR | 6'1" | 215 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 29 | Hunter Smith | RB | SR | 5'11" | 190 | Little Rock, AR |
| 1 | Colin Chase | WR | SR | 6'0" | 195 | Tustin, CA |
| 10 | Jayce Freeman | WR | SR | 6'4" | 225 | Salisbury, MD |
| 12 | Demonte Greene | WR | SR | 6'1" | 180 | Dallas, TX |
| 17 | JoJo Bermudez | WR | SR | 5'9" | 170 | Egg Harbor Township, NJ |
| 24 | Ash Roberts | WR | FR | 5'10" | 160 | Willingboro, NJ |
| 28 | Zander Baptiste | WR | SO | 6'4" | 185 | — |
| 80 | Hunter Watson | WR | FR | 6'1" | 180 | Cranford, NJ |
| 81 | Coen Logan | WR | FR | 6'1" | 205 | Providence, RI |
| 82 | Tylik Mitchell | WR | SO | 5'11" | 185 | Bailey, NC |
| 83 | Kenedy Uzoma | WR | SO | 6'5" | 210 | Beltsville, MD |
| 85 | Rameir Hardy | WR | SO | 6'2" | 185 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 86 | Reis Stocksdale | WR | SR | 5'10" | 185 | Morrow, OH |
| 87 | Kaegan Chambers | WR | SO | 5'11" | 170 | Monroe, NC |
| 18 | Joey Schlaffer | TE | SR | 6'5" | 250 | Reading, PA |
| 30 | Liam Fuller | TE | FR | 6'6" | 230 | Harrisburg, PA |
| 33 | Ryder Kusch | TE | SO | 6'4" | 250 | White Rock, BC |
| 40 | David Wise | TE | JR | 6'5" | 230 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 44 | Patrick Keller | TE | SR | 6'4" | 205 | Abington, PA |
| 84 | Daniel Evert | TE | JR | 6'5" | 250 | Regensburg |
| 88 | Peter Clarke | TE | SR | 6'6" | 265 | London |
| 51 | Mausa Palu | OL | SR | 6'4" | 335 | Nuku'alofa |
| 52 | Eric King | OL | SR | 6'3" | 300 | Jersey City, NJ |
| 53 | Khalif Mcnear | OL | FR | 6'2" | 290 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 54 | Jackson Pruitt | OL | SR | 6'5" | 315 | Detroit, MI |
| 55 | Kevin Terry | OL | SR | 6'5" | 280 | Palm Harbor, FL |
| 56 | C.J. Van Buren | OL | SR | 6'3" | 290 | Stafford, VA |
| 57 | Grayson Mains | OL | SR | 6'5" | 300 | Cumming, GA |
| 58 | Logan King | OL | FR | 6'3" | 295 | Bel Air, MD |
| 63 | John Watkins | OL | FR | 6'5" | 300 | Baltimore, MD |
| 65 | Billy Brown | OL | SO | 6'4" | 315 | Swarthmore, PA |
| 66 | Aiden Zilker | OL | FR | 6'5" | 300 | Frackville, PA |
| 70 | Zach Aamland | OL | SR | 6'7" | 300 | South Brunswick, NJ |
| 71 | Giakoby Hills | OL | JR | 6'5" | 290 | Morristown, NJ |
| 73 | Karon Spencer | OL | FR | 6'6" | 310 | Olney, MD |
| 74 | Davray Venu | OL | JR | 6'5" | 295 | Montreal, PQ |
| 75 | Luke Watson | OL | SR | 6'5" | 290 | Willow Grove, PA |
| 76 | John Stone | OL | SR | 6'2" | 300 | Sewell, NJ |
| 77 | Ransom McDermott | OL | JR | 6'8" | 315 | Noblesville, IN |
| 79 | Jonah Tarpley | OL | FR | 6'5" | 300 | White Plains, MD |
| 34 | Brandon Enarusai | DL | SR | 6'3" | 265 | Burlington, NJ |
| 48 | Adriano McLean | DL | SO | 6'6" | 230 | Lansdowne, PA |
| 51 | Antwuan Rogers | DL | FR | 6'5" | 245 | Norristown, PA |
| 52 | Russell Sykes IV | DL | JR | 6'3" | 260 | Rolesville, NC |
| 58 | Kaleb Artis | DL | SR | 6'4" | 315 | Westbury, NY |
| 59 | Deshon Dodson | DL | SO | 6'3" | 270 | Woodlyn, PA |
| 71 | Kechan Miller | DL | FR | 6'2" | 300 | Washington, DC |
| 88 | Lamar Fairfax | DL | SO | 6'1" | 270 | Detroit, MI |
| 89 | Jayden Brown | DL | FR | 6'4" | 245 | Bridgeport, CT |
| 90 | Yamael Wiggins | DL | SR | 6'2" | 240 | Hershey, PA |
| 92 | Jude Okeleke | DL | FR | 6'2" | 300 | Watertown, CT |
| 93 | Kevin Hornbeak Jr. | DL | SR | 6'2" | 295 | Toledo, OH |
| 94 | Quante Gillians | DL | SO | 6'3" | 290 | Rochester, NY |
| 95 | Troy Cunningham | DL | SO | 6'3" | 265 | South Park, PA |
| 96 | Semi Odedele | DL | JR | 6'4" | 320 | Penns Grove, NJ |
| 97 | Davier Bishop | DL | SR | 6'5" | 260 | Akron, OH |
| 98 | Joseph Auzenne | DL | SR | 6'1" | 295 | Atascocita, TX |
| 99 | Cameron Jones | DL | JR | 6'5" | 250 | Leonardtown, MD |
| 10 | Jaylon Joseph | LB | SR | 6'2" | 235 | Houston, TX |
| 12 | Willy Love | LB | JR | 6'3" | 215 | Camden, NJ |
| 15 | Jordan Montgomery | LB | SR | 6'2" | 230 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 22 | Eric Stuart | LB | SR | 6'2" | 215 | East Palo Alto, CA |
| 28 | David Kpeglo | LB | SR | 6'2" | 230 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 30 | Jayvant Brown | LB | SR | 6'0" | 220 | Deerfield Beach, FL |
| 33 | Curly Ordonez | LB | SR | 6'1" | 220 | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 36 | Wesley Brown | LB | JR | 6'2" | 210 | Decatur, GA |
| 40 | Brendan Farhat | LB | FR | 6'2" | 210 | Ottawa, ON |
| 43 | Aiden Britton | LB | JR | 5'11" | 215 | Stroudsburg, PA |
| 44 | Tyree Alualu | LB | JR | 6'0" | 230 | Wexford, PA |
| 50 | Brian Adderley | LB | SO | 6'2" | 245 | Newark, DE |
| 53 | Reggie Jones | LB | SR | 6'2" | 235 | Leesburg, VA |
| 54 | Josh Nengite | LB | FR | 6'4" | 210 | Harrisburg, PA |
| 55 | Uyi Igiehon | LB | FR | 6'5" | 225 | Hillside, NJ |
| 56 | JaMair Diaz | LB | SR | 6'1" | 245 | Passaic, NJ |
| 57 | Michael Holcomb Jr. | LB | FR | 6'3" | 250 | Forest Hill, MD |
| 11 | Earl Kulp | CB | JR | 6'0" | 190 | Canton, OH |
| 13 | Denzel Chavis | CB | JR | 6'0" | 185 | Union City, NJ |
| 14 | Nakeel Lawrence | CB | SR | 6'1" | 190 | Pine Bluff, AR |
| 20 | Jett White | CB | SO | 6'2" | 175 | Los Angeles, CA |
| 21 | Asa Locks | CB | JR | 6'0" | 185 | Temple Hills, MD |
| 27 | Devontae Ward-Grant | CB | SO | 5'11" | 165 | Florida City, FL |
| 31 | Bryson Goodwin | CB | JR | 6'2" | 180 | Tampa, FL |
| 32 | Adrian Laing | CB | JR | 6'1" | 180 | North Bergen, NJ |
| 35 | Dylan Abram | CB | FR | 6'0" | 170 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 49 | Eyan Stead | CB | FR | 5'9" | 155 | Norristown, PA |
| 16 | Pooh Lawton | S | SR | 5'11" | 175 | Newark, NJ |
| 17 | Jaeden Gould | S | SR | 6'2" | 210 | Somerset, NJ |
| 18 | Kolin Dinkins | S | SR | 6'2" | 200 | Wexford, PA |
| 19 | Josiah Jackson | S | SR | 6'1" | 195 | Cincinnati, OH |
| 23 | Zyil Powell | S | SR | 6'1" | 195 | Newark, NJ |
| 24 | Saboor Karriem | S | SR | 6'3" | 210 | Newark, NJ |
| 25 | Orel Gray | S | SR | 5'11" | 195 | Jacksonville, FL |
| 29 | Avery Powell | S | SR | 5'10" | 170 | East Orange, NJ |
| 37 | Demacio Cooper | S | JR | 6'3" | 180 | Langhorne, PA |
| 38 | Alex Hanks | S | FR | 6'2" | 195 | East Orange, NJ |
| 39 | Daron Harris | S | FR | 6'1" | 180 | Chester, PA |
| 41 | Jack Paessler | S | JR | 5'11" | 170 | Newtown, PA |
| 42 | Jamarcus Pierre | S | SO | 5'10" | 180 | Deerfield Beach, FL |
| 46 | James Paessler | S | SR | 5'11" | 170 | Newtown, PA |
| 32 | Darren Wu | PK | SR | 5'9" | 160 | Medford, NJ |
| 90 | Luke Cochrane | PK | FR | 5'10" | 185 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 98 | Carl Hardin | PK | SR | 5'9" | 160 | Raleigh, NC |
| 7 | Dante Atton | P | SR | 6'0" | 200 | Melbourne, VIC |
| 91 | Luke Sword | P | FR | 6'3" | 175 | Huntingdon Valley, PA |
| 46 | Michael Perillo | LS | FR | 5'10" | 200 | Ramsey, NJ |
| 97 | Sam Wolfenden | LS | JR | 6'2" | 245 | Cave Creek, AZ |
Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Scouting Report · 2026 projection
Temple is in year 2 under K.C. Keeler. The way in is 132nd at holding the line of scrimmage, and they are 130th at shutting down the ground game.
Temple has played 1 game against an average slate, adjusted for here. That football carries about 0% of what is below; the rest is still the preseason projection.
Projected soft spots
- Defensethe push the line gets#132projected
- Defensemoving the ball on the ground#130projected
- Defenseturning trips inside the 40 into points#128projected
Each bar is where this team sits in the country. Before the season has produced enough football these are PROJECTIONS — last season regressed to the mean, plus talent, returning production, recruiting and whether the staff is the same one — and the season replaces them as it is played. Head coaches only — there is no free feed for coordinators, so on a program where the head coach does not call the offense this describes the staff he hired. Play-calling identity is a style, not a grade: throwing more than the situations warrant is not better than throwing less than they warrant.
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 10 to playHow the season could finish · 2026 · chance of each final win total · 10 games left
Every remaining game simulated from the model's win probability for it. Tallest bar is the single likeliest finish, not a prediction that it happens.
Player Value
EPA contribution by position group + estimated NIL market value (derived from position rates and on-field production — not actual deal figures).
Total EPA produced by each positional group this season. OL value is captured via the rush/pass efficiency of skill players; OL-specific EPA isn't separately reported.
Estimated from position-group market rates and on-field EPA contribution. Actual NIL valuations depend on social media following, brand fit, and market negotiations — these figures are directional only.
The Five Factors
ranked vs. FBS · bar = betterOpponent-adjusted efficiency
EPA/play vs. schedulePass vs. rush (PPA)
Trenches & disruption
- Line yards (off)
- 3.21#48
- 2nd-level / open-field
- 1.13 / 2.08
- Power / stuff (off)
- 88.9% / 16.1%
- Havoc — total (def)
- 14.3%#95
- Havoc — front 7 / DB
- 7.1% / 7.1%
Standard vs. passing downs
ProPPA on each down type (off vs. def).
Opponent-adjusted by down
Pro| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 0.13#59 | 0.32#52 | 0.18#124 |
| Defense | -0.13#42 | 0.06#54 | 0.78#120 |
Elo Trajectory
Team Fingerprint · 2026 · 43 opponent-adjusted metrics · percentile vs 138 FBS teams
Plot these →Efficiency
- Offense EPA/play0.1740th
- Defense EPA/play allowed0.0949th
- Offense success rate44%45th
- Defense success rate allowed41%34th
Downs
- Offense success — standard downs49%50th
- Offense success — passing downs31%41st
- Defense success allowed — standard downs45%42nd
- Defense success allowed — passing downs33%25th
Explosiveness
- Offense explosiveness1.128th
- Defense explosiveness allowed1.262nd
- Offense explosiveness — standard downs0.9328th
- Offense explosiveness — passing downs1.944th
Trenches
- Offense line yards3.151st
- Defense line yards allowed2.185th
- Offense highlight yards1.774th
- Defense highlight yards allowed0.4473rd
- Offense power success0.8370th
- Defense power success allowed0.7345th
- Offense stuff rate0.2028th
- Defense stuff rate0.1835th
Third down
- Third down conversion30%8th
- Third down distance faced6.367th
- Third down conversion allowed46%20th
- Third down distance forced6.834th
Halves
- Net success rate — first half0.0753rd
- Net success rate — second half-0.0031st
Drives
- Points per drive1.324th
- Points per drive allowed3.421st
- Average starting field position181st
- Opponent starting field position3613th
- Available yards gained40%29th
- Available yards allowed76%7th
- Scoring opportunities per drive63%11th
- Scoring opportunities allowed100%12th
- Points per scoring opportunity2.029th
- Points allowed per opportunity3.432nd
- Three-and-out rate25%46th
- Three-and-outs forced13%20th
Roster
- Returning usage29%34th
- Returning EPA96.147th
- Team talent composite63142nd
- Recruiting class rank68.051st
- Recruiting class points19251st
Every metric is opponent-adjusted and ranked so that higher is always better — a defensive rate that is good when low is ranked accordingly. Sack and tackle-for-loss composition are deliberately absent: their relationship to team quality is a measured null, so they carry a style rather than a rank, and they appear in the pressure signature instead.
Intelligence Report
Offensive DNA
Rush efficiency edge: 0.243 EPA/play
Defensive Identity
Disruption comes evenly from front and secondary.
Season Signature
1-1 record through 2 games.
Team Shape · percentile vs. FBS · dashed = 50th
Each axis = national percentile rank. 100th = best in FBS, 0th = worst. Defense and Havoc are oriented so higher = better.
CORE efficiency · situation and opponent removed
Points per 100 plays above average, after the game state is regressed out of every snap and the schedule is solved out across the whole league. The version of this team’s efficiency that can be compared to a team it never played.
What a possession is worth · 8 drives
Play-calling identity
Against what the league calls from the same down, distance, field position, score and clock — so this is the staff, not the game script.
- Pass rate
- 40.9%
- Expected, given the spots
- 47.3%
- Over expected
- -6.4
- Fourth down vs peers
- -30
- Fourth down vs the model
- -33
National Landscape · 2026 FBS · offense vs. defense EPA/play
Each dot = one FBS team. Temple is highlighted. Tap or hover a dot for details.
Similar Programs
Teams with the closest offense + defense efficiency profile to Temple in 2026
Similarity = normalized Euclidean distance on season offensive and defensive EPA/play. Teams within ±0.02 EPA/play on both units score >90%.
Program Trajectory · CORE rating · 2015–2026 · points per game vs an average FBS team
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 50% | 1.1 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 42% | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 25% | 2.5 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 25% | 2.8 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 25% | 4.4 | -1.4 |
| 2021 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 25% | 2.1 | +0.9 |
| 2020 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 14% | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 5-3 | 62% | 8.1 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 8-5 | 7-1 | 62% | 7.2 | +0.8 |
| 2017 | 7-6 | 4-4 | 54% | 7.1 | -0.1 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).
0-1 so far, projected to finish 6.3-5.8. Wins the American Athletic in 4.1%.
If they finish with…
Their chance of making it at each final loss count. Better than even up to 1.
Win out and it is 64%. One bid goes to the best champion outside the four power leagues, so running the table only enters them into that argument.
up 0.1 points since preseason.
- At 1 loss they are 64% where the average American Athletic team is 52%.
- The American Athletic takes 0.27 bids in an average season.
- One bid goes to the best champion outside the P4. They take it in 0.6% of seasons, having won their league in 98% of those.
Temple’s own turning points
Points of playoff probability between winning and losing.
- wk13at Memphis2.0
- wk5at South Florida1.8
- wk10at Navy1.7
- wk9at East Carolina1.3
- wk4vs Army1.2
- wk3at Toledo1.2
Who to root for
Games Temple is not in that move its odds most. Same units, much smaller scale.
- wk5Utah State over Boise State0.4
- wk13Georgia over Georgia Tech0.3
- wk7UL Monroe over Louisiana Tech0.3
- wk12Wyoming over New Mexico0.3
- wk11Rutgers over Nebraska0.3
- wk3Arkansas over Georgia0.3
American Athletic
0-0 in league play, projected 4.1-3.910 of 14 by title oddsThe American Athletic sends its top two by conference winning percentage, head-to-head breaking a tie. The last berth is level on percentage in 40% of simulated seasons, so a tiebreaker decides it about that often.
- wk13Temple at Memphis10.5
- wk5Temple at South Florida9.6
- wk10Temple at Navy8.4
- wk9Temple at East Carolina7.2
Points of title probability riding on each result. The whole American Athletic race →
If not the playoff, then
Temple is 1-1 and needs 5 more wins from 10 games to reach the six that make a team eligible — at most one of which may come against an FCS opponent. In 14% of seasons they get there and still go nowhere: there are more eligible teams than seats.
- Armed Forces Bowl8.4%
- Fenway Bowl7.3%
- Birmingham Bowl6.7%
- Gasparilla Bowl5.6%
- Military Bowl5.3%
- Myrtle Beach Bowl4.5%
Recruiting Pipelines
since 2010Of the 170 high-school programs with a pipeline page here, 11 have sent Temple a player since 2010 — 33 signees between them. Where they signed, not where they were offered, and not a complete list of Temple's feeder schools: only these 170 have the outcome history to measure.