#9Wayne Gallman

RB·Clemson·2016 20152.7 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Wayne Gallman is a 2-year Committee Back for Clemson. Wayne's 2016 season ranks in the 30th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 247 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Wayne Gallman's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2016 Production

Rushing

1133 Rush yards17 Rush TD232 Carries4.9 Yards/carry

Receiving

20 Receptions152 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.6 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2016 · vs RB peers

Efficiency30
Volume60
Explosiveness38
Consistency0
Receiving33

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)30th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Peak game: 0.68 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Boston College (SP+ -2).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Auburn	W19-13	15.3	30	123	4.1	1	1	8	0	-0.01
2	vsTroy	W30-24	1.1	9	34	3.8	0	3	25	0	0.11
3	vsSouth Carolina State	W59-0	—	7	40	5.7	1	—	—	—	0.56
4	@Georgia Tech	W26-7	7.8	17	59	3.5	1	3	22	0	-0.13
5	vsLouisville	W42-36	22.9	16	110	6.9	1	—	—	—	0.31
6	@Boston College	W56-10	-1.6	9	109	12.1	1	—	—	—	0.68
7	vsNC State	W24-17	9.4	2	14	7.0	0	1	18	0	-0.99
9	@Florida State	W37-34	24.0	20	82	4.1	2	1	2	0	0.17
10	vsSyracuse	W54-0	-2.7	10	63	6.3	1	—	—	—	0.50
11	vsPittsburgh	L42-43	13.1	18	36	2.0	3	4	10	0	-0.16
12	@Wake Forest	W35-13	-0.6	22	161	7.3	2	2	11	0	0.38
13	vsSouth Carolina	W56-7	-4.0	19	112	5.9	1	—	—	—	0.31
14	vsVirginia Tech	W42-35	15.2	17	59	3.5	1	1	7	0	-0.02
1	vsOhio State	W31-0	22.4	18	85	4.7	1	1	10	0	-0.11
1	vsAlabama	W35-31	31.7	18	46	2.6	1	3	39	0	-0.11

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

20.9%

Passing plays

3.8%

Rushing plays

40.3%

Standard downs

24.2%

Passing downs

11.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.08
Passing downs: 0.16
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.11 / 0.09

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2015 — 2016 · 29 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2015	Clemson	3.0	0.280	—	77.8
2016	Clemson	2.7	0.320	+0.04	76.2

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.