Skip to content
Wan'Dale Robinson
Wan'Dale Robinson

#1Wan'Dale Robinson

WR·Nebraska·202020190.0 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Wan'Dale Robinson is a 2-year Possession Receiver WR for Nebraska. Wan'Dale's 2020 season ranks in the 25th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 103 plays — a developing rate for the WR. A four-star recruit in the class of 2019, Wan'Dale has shown flashes of the talent that made him a coveted recruit.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Wan'Dale Robinson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2019

4-Star · High major target
Stars
247 composite
0.9597
National rank
#87
High school
Western Hills
Hometown
Frankfort, KY

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2020 Production

Rushing
240 Rush yards1 Rush TD46 Carries5.2 Yards/carry
Receiving
51 Receptions461 Rec yards1 Rec TD9.0 Yards/rec
Returns
1 Punt returns-5 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2020 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency25
  • Volume56
  • Explosiveness14
  • Consistency61
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Possession Receiver WR

Chain-mover who earns targets through reliability. High volume, short-to-intermediate routes, consistent floor every week.

High target shareChain moverReliable floor
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)25th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency61th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs WR peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • 4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.29 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 0.71 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs Purdue (SP+ 6).

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Davis BrysonKennesaw State0.2000.019.4
Hyleck FosterMarshall0.1800.518.2
Amare JonesTulane0.1800.012.8
Justin LynchTemple0.2400.315.1
Samajie GrantArizona0.2500.315.5

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.7100.71Wk 8 vs Ohio State: +0.60 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Northwestern: -0.45 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Penn State: +0.01 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Illinois: +0.43 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Iowa: +0.31 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Purdue: +0.71 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Minnesota: +0.05 EPA/play15Wk 16 vs Rutgers: +0.70 EPA/play16
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
8@Ohio StateL17-5228.46498.20210.60
10@NorthwesternL13-219.04328.0014-0.45
11vsPenn StateW30-2313.95112.2050.01
12vsIllinoisL23-41-5.466010.00310.43
13@IowaL20-2616.39758.30280.31
14@PurdueW37-275.9911412.70250.71
15vsMinnesotaL17-244.76416.80100.05
16@RutgersW28-21-10.567913.21380.70

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
19.6%
Passing plays
26.3%
Rushing plays
14.5%
Standard downs
19.1%
Passing downs
21.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.06
Passing downs
0.65
Pass / Rush EPA
0.31 / 0.13

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+0.820−0.572020
EPA per play · 2019 — 2020 · 18 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2019Nebraska
0.5
10.9
2020Nebraska
0.0
10.3

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.