#9Davis Bryson

WR·Kennesaw State·20240.0 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Davis Bryson is a Workhorse Receiver WR for Kennesaw State. Davis's 2024 season ranks in the 13th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 349 plays — a developing rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Davis Bryson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

143/261 Comp/Att1494 Pass yards6 Pass TD10 INT54.8% Comp %

Rushing

293 Rush yards4 Rush TD112 Carries2.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

Efficiency13
Volume100
Explosiveness0
Consistency0
Pass-Down100

Player type

Workhorse Receiver WR

The primary target in the offense — used across all situations and down-types at an elite volume.

Top target shareAll-down utilityOffense runs through this player

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)13th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs WR peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used WRs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Zach Abey	Navy	2017	275	0.370	2.9	101.8
D.J. Foster	Arizona State	2014	174	0.200	1.0	34.8
Shai Werts	Georgia Southern	2017	161	0.150	0.0	24.2
Shai Werts	Georgia Southern	2019	153	0.210	1.9	32.1
Shai Werts	Georgia Southern	2020	128	0.310	1.0	39.7

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · EPA per play, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	EPA/play	Pass	Rush
1	@UTSA	L16-28	2.2	-0.01	0.05	-0.13
2	vsLouisiana	L10-34	4.8	0.29	0.54	-0.11
3	@San José State	L10-31	-5.5	0.04	0.18	-0.37
5	vsUT Martin	L13-24	—	-0.22	-0.34	0.47
6	vsJacksonville State	L24-63	-1.0	-0.26	-0.24	-0.33
9	vsLiberty	W27-24	0.2	0.24	0.35	-0.08
10	@Western Kentucky	L14-31	-2.2	0.02	-0.26	0.81
11	@UTEP	L35-43	-22.7	0.17	0.06	0.40
12	vsSam Houston	L17-23	-6.9	0.09	0.04	0.20
13	vsFlorida International	W27-26	-12.1	0.15	0.12	0.25
14	@Louisiana Tech	L0-33	-11.6	-0.25	-0.26	-0.17

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

53.8%

Passing plays

95.7%

Rushing plays

24.6%

Standard downs

45.6%

Passing downs

67.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.18
Passing downs: 0.31
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.03 / 0.14

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2024 · 11 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.