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Trevor Etienne

#1Trevor Etienne

Trevor Etienne is a Explosive Back for Florida. Trevor's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 147 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Trevor Etienne's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing
753 Rush yards8 Rush TD131 Carries5.7 Yards/carry
Receiving
21 Receptions172 Rec yards1 Rec TD8.2 Yards/rec
Returns
9 Kick returns224 KR yards0 KR TD2 Punt returns26 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume59
  • Explosiveness54
  • Consistency56
  • Receiving45
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency56th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • 3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Peak game: 0.74 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs McNeese.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.3403.997.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.7400.74Wk 1 vs Utah: -0.14 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs McNeese: +0.74 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Tennessee: +0.20 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Charlotte: +0.15 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Kentucky: +0.00 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs South Carolina: +0.49 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Georgia: +0.02 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Arkansas: +0.42 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs LSU: +0.26 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Missouri: +0.24 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Florida State: -0.30 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1@UtahL11-248.57253.604120-0.14
2vsMcNeeseW49-711847.6111400.74
3vsTennesseeW29-1616.2231727.510.20
4vsCharlotteW22-7-21.48486.0022000.15
5@KentuckyL14-3310.511292.6043800.00
7@South CarolinaW41-394.39495.411300.49
9vsGeorgiaL20-4331.27426.001100.02
10vsArkansasL36-393.512806.7124300.42
11@LSUL35-5219.118995.531500.26
12@MissouriL31-3319.315825.5123710.24
13vsFlorida StateL15-2419.410434.303-10-0.30

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
20.6%
Passing plays
5.1%
Rushing plays
36.7%
Standard downs
22.6%
Passing downs
16.5%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.24
Passing downs
0.00
Pass / Rush EPA
0.20 / 0.17

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.