#25Reggie Gallaspy II

RB·NC State·20182.3 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Reggie Gallaspy II is a Committee Back for NC State. Reggie's 2018 season ranks in the 10th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 217 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Reggie Gallaspy II's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2018 Production

Rushing

1018 Rush yards16 Rush TD217 Carries4.7 Yards/carry

Receiving

6 Receptions27 Rec yards0 Rec TD4.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2018 · vs RB peers

Efficiency10
Volume70
Explosiveness34
Consistency30
Receiving15

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)10th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency30th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.13 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.47 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs East Carolina (SP+ -15).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsJames Madison	W24-13	—	17	68	4.0	1	—	—	—	0.02
2	vsGeorgia State	W41-7	-20.4	11	24	2.2	1	—	—	—	-0.30
4	@Marshall	W37-20	1.0	22	81	3.7	2	—	—	—	-0.07
5	vsVirginia	W35-21	7.1	14	47	3.4	1	1	5	0	0.20
6	vsBoston College	W28-23	2.4	25	104	4.2	2	—	—	—	0.19
8	@Clemson	L7-41	29.7	9	59	6.6	1	1	8	0	0.19
9	@Syracuse	L41-51	7.5	19	65	3.4	1	1	0	0	-0.05
10	vsFlorida State	W47-28	1.4	21	106	5.0	0	—	—	—	0.19
11	vsWake Forest	L23-27	3.6	14	36	2.6	0	—	—	—	-0.32
13	@North Carolina	W34-28	-2.5	27	129	4.8	5	1	0	0	0.38
14	vsEast Carolina	W58-3	-14.9	24	220	9.2	2	1	2	0	0.47
1	vsTexas A&M	L13-52	21.6	14	79	5.6	0	1	12	0	0.36

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

24.5%

Passing plays

2.0%

Rushing plays

49.1%

Standard downs

28.7%

Passing downs

14.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.04
Passing downs: 0.50
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.39 / 0.11

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2018 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.