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Quinshon Judkins
Quinshon Judkins

#1Quinshon Judkins

RB·Ohio State·2024202320223.3 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Quinshon Judkins is a 3-year Explosive Back for Ohio State. Quinshon's 2024 season ranks in the 65th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 202 plays — a average rate for the RB. Quinshon's production has improved each season, a positive development trajectory.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Quinshon Judkins's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2022

3-Star · Developmental
Stars
247 composite
0.8804
National rank
#562
High school
Pike Road
Hometown
Pike Road, AL

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2024 Production

Rushing
1060 Rush yards14 Rush TD194 Carries5.5 Yards/carry
Receiving
22 Receptions161 Rec yards2 Rec TD7.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency65
  • Volume63
  • Explosiveness50
  • Consistency51
  • Receiving45
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)65th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency51th %ile · average
Career trajectory:↑ Rising
Key findings
  • Career trajectory is upward — WEPA value has improved season over season.
  • 4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.30 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.33 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Western Michigan (SP+ -10).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Travis EtienneClemson0.4704.7100.1
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.4105.298.4
Clyde Edwards-HelaireLSU0.4905.0105.8
James FlandersTulsa0.3904.9103.7
Nick WilsonArizona0.4105.2102.5

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.3301.33Wk 1 vs Akron: +0.13 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Western Michigan: +1.33 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs Marshall: +0.69 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Michigan State: +0.20 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Iowa: +0.08 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Oregon: +0.49 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Nebraska: -0.05 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Penn State: -0.03 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Purdue: +0.13 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Northwestern: +0.42 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Indiana: -0.36 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Michigan: +0.02 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsAkronW52-6-17.913554.210.13
2vsWestern MichiganW56-0-10.2910812.021.33
4vsMarshallW49-143.11417312.4221400.69
5@Michigan StateW38-7-4.611544.9021700.20
6vsIowaW35-715.813786.001-200.08
7@OregonL31-3226.011232.1123800.49
9vsNebraskaW21-175.510292.90191-0.05
10@Penn StateW20-1324.614956.80250-0.03
11vsPurdueW45-0-16.211322.9021300.13
12vsNorthwesternW31-7-8.215765.121800.42
13vsIndianaW38-1520.114362.60270-0.36
14vsMichiganL10-1310.612463.800.02
20vsOregonW41-2126.017855.00
20vsNotre DameW34-2323.9111009.122211
20vsTennesseeW42-1722.010343.42290
20vsTexasW28-1424.19364.023220

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
22.2%
Passing plays
5.5%
Rushing plays
37.6%
Standard downs
25.1%
Passing downs
14.9%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.23
Passing downs
0.37
Pass / Rush EPA
0.28 / 0.25

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+1.500−0.5320232024
EPA per play · 2022 — 2024 · 42 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2022Ole Miss
4.6
90.2
2023Ole Miss
1.5
48.6
2024Ohio State
3.3
79.4

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.