#2Kendall Milton

RB·Georgia·20233.3 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Kendall Milton is a Explosive Back for Georgia. Kendall's 2023 season ranks in the 98th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 116 plays — a elite rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Kendall Milton's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing

790 Rush yards14 Rush TD121 Carries6.5 Yards/carry

Receiving

4 Receptions25 Rec yards0 Rec TD6.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

Efficiency98
Volume44
Explosiveness70
Consistency58
Receiving12

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)98th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency58th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.12 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.50 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Vanderbilt (SP+ -13).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	LSU	2019	216	0.490	5.0	105.8
Devon Johnson	Marshall	2014	208	0.520	6.0	108.2
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2015	228	0.450	5.8	102.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsUT Martin	W48-7	—	9	53	5.9	0	—	—	—	-0.05
2	vsBall State	W45-3	-14.9	7	18	2.6	1	2	9	0	0.11
3	vsSouth Carolina	W24-14	4.3	7	25	3.6	0	—	—	—	-0.35
6	vsKentucky	W51-13	10.5	8	47	5.9	1	—	—	—	0.48
7	@Vanderbilt	W37-20	-12.7	5	53	10.6	1	—	—	—	1.50
9	vsFlorida	W43-20	6.8	13	55	4.2	1	—	—	—	0.21
10	vsMissouri	W30-21	19.3	9	44	4.9	1	—	—	—	0.14
11	vsOle Miss	W52-17	18.4	9	127	14.1	2	1	12	0	1.16
12	@Tennessee	W38-10	16.2	14	66	4.7	1	—	—	—	-0.01
13	@Georgia Tech	W31-23	0.3	18	156	8.7	2	—	—	—	0.67
14	vsAlabama	L24-27	23.1	13	42	3.2	2	1	4	0	0.23
20	vsFlorida State	W63-3	19.4	9	104	11.6	2	—	—	—	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

15.3%

Passing plays

1.0%

Rushing plays

28.6%

Standard downs

18.1%

Passing downs

6.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.38
Passing downs: 0.34
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.13 / 0.38

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2023 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.