#6Jalon Daniels

QB·Kansas·2025 20246.4 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Jalon Daniels is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Kansas. Jalon's 2025 season ranks in the 48th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 427 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jalon Daniels's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

198/319 Comp/Att2504 Pass yards22 Pass TD7 INT62.1% Comp %

Rushing

423 Rush yards4 Rush TD117 Carries3.6 Yards/carry

Punting

1 Punts40 Punt yards40.0 Yards/punt40 Long0 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency48
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency71
Clutch34

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)48th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency71th %ile · average

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.37 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.75 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Cincinnati (SP+ 5).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
0	vsFresno State	W31-7	1.8	18/20	176	3	0	87.6	47	0	—
1	vsWagner	W46-7	—	18/25	280	4	1	80.7	18	0	0.60
2	@Missouri	L31-42	14.4	18/30	223	2	1	66.3	17	1	0.32
4	vsWest Virginia	W41-10	-6.8	12/24	138	3	0	91.9	69	0	0.50
5	vsCincinnati	L34-37	4.5	19/28	445	4	0	59.4	55	0	0.75
6	@UCF	W27-20	-1.2	18/26	235	0	0	78.0	25	0	0.31
7	@Texas Tech	L17-42	27.6	27/33	228	2	0	72.5	-13	0	0.20
9	vsKansas State	L17-42	7.0	17/35	129	0	1	41.3	44	1	0.07
10	vsOklahoma State	W38-21	-15.1	13/19	110	2	0	85.4	28	0	0.50
11	@Arizona	L20-24	12.0	15/29	199	1	0	57.4	74	1	0.35
13	@Iowa State	L14-38	9.9	13/23	154	0	1	33.3	25	0	-0.11
14	vsUtah	L21-31	22.2	10/27	187	1	3	34.3	34	1	-0.25

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

54.8%

Passing plays

92.1%

Rushing plays

24.1%

Standard downs

47.7%

Passing downs

74.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.33
Passing downs: 0.30
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.32 / 0.43

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2024 — 2025 · 24 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2024	Kansas	7.4	0.485	—	190.2
2025	Kansas	6.4	0.390	-0.09	159.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.