#6Jalon Daniels

QB·Kansas·2025 20247.4 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Jalon Daniels is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Kansas. Jalon's 2024 season ranks in the 57th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 372 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jalon Daniels's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

171/300 Comp/Att2454 Pass yards14 Pass TD12 INT57.0% Comp %

Rushing

447 Rush yards6 Rush TD93 Carries4.8 Yards/carry

Punting

1 Punts26 Punt yards26.0 Yards/punt26 Long1 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency57
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency84
Clutch54

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)57th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency84th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.20 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.01 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Houston (SP+ -8).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsLindenwood	W48-3	—	9/15	148	1	1	48.7	—	—	0.47
2	@Illinois	L17-23	9.6	18/32	141	2	3	32.4	35	0	0.20
3	vsUNLV	L20-23	9.3	12/24	153	0	2	56.0	65	2	0.31
4	@West Virginia	L28-32	2.1	15/25	184	1	1	40.4	11	0	0.25
5	vsTCU	L27-38	10.8	15/34	179	1	1	36.5	6	0	0.26
6	@Arizona State	L31-35	9.4	18/31	260	2	0	80.2	14	1	0.47
8	vsHouston	W42-14	-8.2	16/21	247	3	0	95.6	58	1	1.01
9	@Kansas State	L27-29	14.1	18/31	209	1	1	68.8	66	1	0.28
11	vsIowa State	W45-36	10.3	12/24	295	2	0	95.5	68	1	0.57
12	@BYU	W17-13	15.3	12/19	169	0	1	63.0	15	0	0.29
13	vsColorado	W37-21	8.1	14/21	189	1	0	91.8	72	0	0.76
14	@Baylor	L17-45	8.4	12/23	280	0	2	48.8	37	0	0.29

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

50.2%

Passing plays

96.7%

Rushing plays

19.2%

Standard downs

44.9%

Passing downs

63.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.40
Passing downs: 0.47
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.41 / 0.48

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2024 — 2025 · 24 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2024	Kansas	7.4	0.485	—	190.2
2025	Kansas	6.4	0.390	-0.09	159.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.