#11Jake Fromm

QB·Georgia·2019 2018 20178.8 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Jake Fromm is a 3-year Dual-Threat QB for Georgia. Jake's 2017 season ranks in the 95th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 327 plays — a elite rate for the QB. Production has trended downward season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jake Fromm's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2017

★★★★★

4-Star · High major target

Stars: ★★★★★
247 composite: 0.9794
National rank: #44
High school: Houston County
Hometown: Warner Robins, GA

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2017 Production

Passing

181/291 Comp/Att2615 Pass yards24 Pass TD7 INT62.2% Comp %

Rushing

79 Rush yards3 Rush TD55 Carries1.4 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2017 · vs QB peers

Efficiency95
Volume99
Dual-Threat88
Consistency77
Clutch97

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)95th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency77th %ile · above avg

Career trajectory:↓ Declining

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among QBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸Production has slipped season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸10 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.27 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.48 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Florida (SP+ 10).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsApp State	W31-10	3.8	10/15	143	1	0	89.5	—	—	0.52
2	@Notre Dame	W20-19	20.8	16/29	141	1	1	13.2	-7	0	-0.04
3	vsSamford	W42-14	—	8/13	165	3	0	86.1	11	0	0.91
4	vsMississippi State	W31-3	16.0	9/12	201	2	0	95.7	0	0	0.83
5	@Tennessee	W41-0	1.2	7/15	84	1	1	64.3	20	2	0.45
6	@Vanderbilt	W45-14	0.6	7/11	102	2	0	87.5	36	0	0.67
7	vsMissouri	W53-28	11.1	18/26	326	2	1	91.1	14	1	0.97
9	vsFlorida	W42-7	10.1	4/7	101	1	1	97.5	13	0	1.48
10	vsSouth Carolina	W24-10	7.8	16/22	196	2	0	94.2	11	0	0.49
11	@Auburn	L17-40	24.7	13/28	184	1	0	—	-33	0	0.06
12	vsKentucky	W42-13	2.7	9/14	123	1	1	71.7	18	0	0.74
13	@Georgia Tech	W38-7	8.9	12/16	224	2	0	97.8	20	0	0.88
14	vsAuburn	W28-7	24.7	16/22	183	2	0	85.5	4	0	0.26
1	vsAlabama	L23-26	33.5	16/32	232	1	2	36.2	-15	0	0.00
1	vsOklahoma	W54-48	25.5	20/29	210	2	0	59.9	-13	0	0.00

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

34.7%

Passing plays

94.7%

Rushing plays

6.0%

Standard downs

27.3%

Passing downs

51.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.31
Passing downs: 0.59
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.45 / 0.34

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2017 — 2019 · 43 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2017	Georgia	8.8	0.670	—	210.4
2018	Georgia	11.7	0.770	+0.10	250.2
2019	Georgia	7.2	0.520	-0.25	212.2

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.