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Stetson Bennett

#13Stetson Bennett

QB·Georgia·2022202112.5 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Stetson Bennett is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Georgia. Stetson's 2022 season ranks in the 95th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 464 plays — a elite rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Stetson Bennett's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2022 Production

Passing
310/455 Comp/Att4127 Pass yards27 Pass TD7 INT68.1% Comp %
Rushing
205 Rush yards10 Rush TD57 Carries3.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2022 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency95
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat100
  • Consistency87
  • Clutch100
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)95th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency87th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among QBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.87 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs South Carolina (SP+ 13).

NIL Market Tier· 2022

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Tanner MordecaiSMU0.63014.0321.5
Kaidon SalterLiberty0.71114.7345.6
Malik CunninghamLouisville0.68114.7341.6
Blake SimsAlabama0.69615.4329.4
Ryan HigginsLouisiana Tech0.58613.7334.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.8700.87Wk 1 vs Oregon: +0.67 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Samford: +0.35 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs South Carolina: +0.87 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Kent State: +0.24 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Missouri: +0.24 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Auburn: +0.27 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Vanderbilt: +0.52 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Florida: +0.37 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Tennessee: +0.83 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Mississippi State: +0.53 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Kentucky: +0.14 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Georgia Tech: +0.47 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs LSU: +0.71 EPA/play14Wk 1 vs Ohio State: +0.49 EPA/play1Wk 1 vs TCU: +0.49 EPA/play1
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsOregonW49-318.925/313682097.3810.67
2vsSamfordW33-024/353001063.2-1310.35
3@South CarolinaW48-712.716/232842097.93610.87
4vsKent StateW39-22-13.127/362720168.51310.24
5@MissouriW26-228.124/433120073.8-200.24
6vsAuburnW42-105.122/322080075.46410.27
7vsVanderbiltW55-0-4.724/302892090.1900.52
9vsFloridaW42-2010.419/383162281.2200.37
10vsTennesseeW27-1325.217/252572098.11310.83
11@Mississippi StateW45-1915.425/372893274.31410.53
12@KentuckyW16-613.013/191160175.12500.14
13vsGeorgia TechW37-14-11.810/1814020--2100.47
14vsLSUW50-3016.223/2927440-600.71
1vsOhio StateW42-4131.123/3439831-1810.49
1vsTCUW65-724.318/25304403920.49

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
48.8%
Passing plays
92.4%
Rushing plays
8.9%
Standard downs
43.1%
Passing downs
66.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.37
Passing downs
0.72
Pass / Rush EPA
0.49 / 0.44

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+2.250−0.712022
EPA per play · 2021 — 2022 · 29 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2021Georgia
9.5
251.1
2022Georgia
12.5
323.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.