#21DeAndre Washington

RB·Texas Tech·20154.0 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

DeAndre Washington is a Featured Back for Texas Tech. DeAndre's 2015 season ranks in the 60th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 277 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So DeAndre Washington's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2015 Production

Rushing

1492 Rush yards14 Rush TD233 Carries6.4 Yards/carry

Receiving

41 Receptions385 Rec yards2 Rec TD9.4 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2015 · vs RB peers

Efficiency60
Volume74
Explosiveness68
Consistency70
Receiving58

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)60th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency70th %ile · average

Key findings

▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.55 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs UTEP (SP+ -20).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4
Jonathan Taylor	Wisconsin	2017	307	0.350	4.8	107.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsSam Houston	W59-45	—	13	74	5.7	0	2	14	0	0.05
2	vsUTEP	W69-20	-19.5	12	138	11.5	1	1	9	0	0.55
3	@Arkansas	W35-24	19.2	11	75	6.8	0	3	16	0	-0.05
4	vsTCU	L52-55	19.0	22	188	8.5	4	3	31	0	0.41
5	vsBaylor	L35-63	19.5	13	39	3.0	0	5	41	0	-0.21
6	vsIowa State	W66-31	-0.3	12	72	6.0	1	4	48	1	0.52
7	@Kansas	W30-20	-21.3	23	157	6.8	1	2	3	0	0.03
8	@Oklahoma	L27-63	22.7	19	94	4.9	1	1	12	0	0.37
9	vsOklahoma State	L53-70	9.9	22	95	4.3	1	2	16	0	0.04
10	@West Virginia	L26-31	12.9	21	102	4.9	0	6	64	1	0.38
11	vsKansas State	W59-44	2.6	27	248	9.2	3	4	36	0	0.45
13	@Texas	W48-45	3.7	28	173	6.2	2	1	14	0	0.29
1	vsLSU	L27-56	19.7	10	37	3.7	0	7	81	0	0.18

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

26.0%

Passing plays

8.3%

Rushing plays

52.6%

Standard downs

31.4%

Passing downs

14.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.16
Passing downs: 0.58
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.27 / 0.24

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2015 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.