#30Daijun Edwards

RB·Georgia·20232.5 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Daijun Edwards is a Explosive Back for Georgia. Daijun's 2023 season ranks in the 53th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 181 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Daijun Edwards's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing

881 Rush yards13 Rush TD164 Carries5.4 Yards/carry

Receiving

20 Receptions197 Rec yards0 Rec TD9.8 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

Efficiency53
Volume64
Explosiveness48
Consistency82
Receiving44

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)53th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency82th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.10 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.62 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs UAB (SP+ -15).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2017	240	0.410	5.2	98.4
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
3	vsSouth Carolina	W24-14	4.3	20	118	5.9	1	—	—	—	0.35
4	vsUAB	W49-21	-14.7	12	66	5.5	2	1	6	0	0.62
5	@Auburn	W27-20	7.6	19	76	4.0	2	—	—	—	0.03
6	vsKentucky	W51-13	10.5	9	54	6.0	0	6	51	0	0.27
7	@Vanderbilt	W37-20	-12.7	20	146	7.3	1	1	7	0	0.34
9	vsFlorida	W43-20	6.8	15	96	6.4	2	1	3	0	0.24
10	vsMissouri	W30-21	19.3	16	77	4.8	0	2	28	0	0.06
11	vsOle Miss	W52-17	18.4	12	59	4.9	2	2	17	0	0.38
12	@Tennessee	W38-10	16.2	11	34	3.1	0	2	15	0	0.08
13	@Georgia Tech	W31-23	0.3	13	55	4.2	1	2	31	0	0.32
14	vsAlabama	L24-27	23.1	10	38	3.8	0	2	11	0	0.21
20	vsFlorida State	W63-3	19.4	7	62	8.9	2	1	28	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

22.5%

Passing plays

5.4%

Rushing plays

38.0%

Standard downs

26.1%

Passing downs

11.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.21
Passing downs: 0.66
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.56 / 0.24

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2023 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.