Georgia vs. Florida State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
UGATeam statsFSU
- Q4 12:10UGAAnthony Evans III 14 Yd pass from Gunner Stockton (Peyton Woodring Kick)63–3
- Q3 2:30UGALawson Luckie 4 Yd pass from Gunner Stockton (Peyton Woodring Kick)56–3
- Q3 9:23UGADaijun Edwards 2 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)49–3
- Q2 0:24UGADominic Lovett 2 Yd pass from Carson Beck (Peyton Woodring Kick)42–3
- Q2 3:39UGAArian Smith 12 Yd pass from Carson Beck (Peyton Woodring Kick)35–3
- Q2 10:18UGALadd McConkey 27 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)28–3
- Q2 10:38UGADaijun Edwards 15 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)21–3
- Q2 12:34FSURyan Fitzgerald 22 Yd Field Goal 14–3
- Q2 14:57UGAKendall Milton 5 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)14–0
- Q1 4:05UGAKendall Milton 15 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)7–0
How the model called it
- PassCarson Beck 13/18, 203 YDS, 2 TD
- RushKendall Milton 9 CAR, 104 YDS, 2 TD
- RecDillon Bell 5 REC, 86 YDS
- PassBrock Glenn 9/26, 139 YDS, 2 INT
- RushJa'Khi Douglas 8 CAR, 46 YDS
- RecKentron Poitier 4 REC, 84 YDS
FAQ
What was the final score of Georgia vs. Florida State?
Georgia 63, Florida State 3.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (UGA) was correct.
| UGA | FSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 673 | Total yards | 209 |
| 301 | Passing yards | 146 |
| 372 | Rushing yards | 63 |
| 36 | First downs | 11 |
| 5-9 | 3rd down | 2-12 |
| 1-2 | 4th down | 1-2 |
| 20/29 | Comp/Att | 10/27 |
| 10.4 | Yards per pass | 5.4 |
| 7.9 | Yards per rush | 2.4 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 5-55 | Penalties | 3-44 |
| 35:38 | Possession | 24:22 |
- Q4 12:10UGAAnthony Evans III 14 Yd pass from Gunner Stockton (Peyton Woodring Kick)63–3
- Q3 2:30UGALawson Luckie 4 Yd pass from Gunner Stockton (Peyton Woodring Kick)56–3
- Q3 9:23UGADaijun Edwards 2 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)49–3
- Q2 0:24UGADominic Lovett 2 Yd pass from Carson Beck (Peyton Woodring Kick)42–3
- Q2 3:39UGAArian Smith 12 Yd pass from Carson Beck (Peyton Woodring Kick)35–3
- Q2 10:18UGALadd McConkey 27 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)28–3
- Q2 10:38UGADaijun Edwards 15 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)21–3
- Q2 12:34FSURyan Fitzgerald 22 Yd Field Goal 14–3
- Q2 14:57UGAKendall Milton 5 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)14–0
- Q1 4:05UGAKendall Milton 15 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (FSU Elo 1951, UGA Elo 2111 for reference), on a neutral field. That projects FSU +6.4 (35% to win) — 13.6 points clear of FSU's market line of +20. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2023
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesGeorgia leads 7–4–1 · Georgia has won 2 straight · 42% have been one-possession games
| UGA | FSU | |
|---|---|---|
| +33.9 (#4) | CORE overall | +16.3 (#20) |
| +23 / -11 | offense / defense | +3 / -13 |
| 3.90 | points / drive | 2.70 |
| 1.53 | allowed / drive | 1.47 |
| 17% | three-and-outs | 26% |
| +7 | pass over expected | +8 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →