Temple vs. Memphis: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
TEMTeam statsMEM
- Q4 4:33TEMTEMPLE Extra point GOOD.41–21
- Q4 4:33TEMTEMPLE pass complete for a touchdown.40–21
- Q4 10:26TEMTEMPLE 19 yard field goal GOOD.34–21
- Q3 4:57MEMMEMPHIS Extra point GOOD.31–21
- Q3 4:57MEMMEMPHIS rush for a touchdown.31–20
- Q3 9:38TEMTEMPLE Extra point GOOD.31–14
- Q3 9:38TEMTEMPLE punt return for a touchdown.30–14
- Q3 10:49TEMTEMPLE Extra point GOOD.24–14
- Q3 10:49TEMTEMPLE pass complete for a touchdown.23–14
- Q3 10:59MEMMEMPHIS Extra point GOOD.17–14
- Q3 10:59MEMMEMPHIS pass complete for a touchdown.17–13
- Q2 0:20TEMTEMPLE Extra point GOOD.17–7
- Q2 0:20TEMTEMPLE pass complete for a touchdown.16–7
- Q2 5:49MEMMEMPHIS Extra point GOOD.10–7
- Q2 5:49MEMMEMPHIS rush for a touchdown.10–6
- Q2 7:22TEMTEMPLE Extra point GOOD.10–0
- Q2 7:22TEMTEMPLE pass complete for a touchdown.9–0
- Q1 2:22TEMTEMPLE 22 yard field goal GOOD.3–0
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- MEM played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and TEM did not face the same ones. 3rd & 9.8 vs 3rd & 5.9
- PassPJ Walker 20/32, 328 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
- RushJamie Gilmore 16 CAR, 92 YDS
- RecChris Coyer 3 REC, 129 YDS, 1 TD
- PassPaxton Lynch 19/29, 162 YDS, 1 TD
- RushBrandon Hayes 16 CAR, 38 YDS
- RecSam Craft 7 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsTEM up 10 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,140 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q3 10:49TEM +23%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Chris Coyer for 75 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q3 10:59MEM +20%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Sam Craft for 10 yards for a TOUCHDOWN, TEMPLE penalty holding declined
- Q2 0:20TEM +19%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robbie Anderson for 11 yards for a TOUCHDOWN, MEMPHIS penalty pass interference declined
- Q2 7:22TEM +19%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robbie Anderson for 1 yard for a TOUCHDOWN, MEMPHIS penalty pass interference declined
- Q2 5:49MEM +18%
Sam Craft rush for 1 yard for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q3 9:38TEM +14%
Tom Hornsey punt blocked by Sharif Finch, Michael Felton for no gain, to the Memph 0 for a TOUCHDOWN
FAQ
What was the final score of Temple vs. Memphis?
Temple 41, Memphis 21.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked MEM, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| TEM | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 534 | Total yards | 228 |
| 328 | Passing yards | 168 |
| 206 | Rushing yards | 60 |
| 23 | First downs | 16 |
| 8-19 | 3rd down | 2-12 |
| 4-5 | 4th down | 1-3 |
| 20/32 | Comp/Att | 20/33 |
| 10.3 | Yards per pass | 5.1 |
| 4.4 | Yards per rush | 2.1 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 7-59 | Penalties | 6-53 |
| 35:12 | Possession | 24:09 |
Costliest call
Q4 10:26 TEM field goal on 4th & 1 at MEM 1. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 2.14 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 4:33TEMTEMPLE Extra point GOOD.41–21
- Q4 4:33TEMTEMPLE pass complete for a touchdown.40–21
- Q4 10:26TEMTEMPLE 19 yard field goal GOOD.34–21
- Q3 4:57MEMMEMPHIS Extra point GOOD.31–21
- Q3 4:57MEMMEMPHIS rush for a touchdown.31–20
- Q3 9:38TEMTEMPLE Extra point GOOD.31–14
- Q3 9:38TEMTEMPLE punt return for a touchdown.30–14
- Q3 10:49TEMTEMPLE Extra point GOOD.24–14
- Q3 10:49TEMTEMPLE pass complete for a touchdown.23–14
- Q3 10:59MEMMEMPHIS Extra point GOOD.17–14
- Q3 10:59MEMMEMPHIS pass complete for a touchdown.17–13
- Q2 0:20TEMTEMPLE Extra point GOOD.17–7
- Q2 0:20TEMTEMPLE pass complete for a touchdown.16–7
- Q2 5:49MEMMEMPHIS Extra point GOOD.10–7
- Q2 5:49MEMMEMPHIS rush for a touchdown.10–6
- Q2 7:22TEMTEMPLE Extra point GOOD.10–0
- Q2 7:22TEMTEMPLE pass complete for a touchdown.9–0
- Q1 2:22TEMTEMPLE 22 yard field goal GOOD.3–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (MEM Elo 1401, TEM Elo 1380 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects MEM -3.2 (60% to win) — 4.8 points clear of TEM's market line of -8. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2013
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#32 of 93 in 2013 by biggest miss · #57 of 93 in 2013 by longest odds.
The 2013 upset archive →Memphis leads 5–4 · Memphis has won 2 straight · 44% have been one-possession games
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →