Georgia Tech vs. Syracuse: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
GTTeam statsSYR
- Q4 8:10SYRTrill Williams 43 Yd Interception Return (Andre Szmyt Kick)20–37
- Q3 0:40SYRNykeim Johnson 43 Yd pass from Tommy DeVito (Andre Szmyt Kick)20–30
- Q3 1:29GTJamious Griffin 3 Yd Run (Gavin Stewart Kick)20–23
- Q2 5:10GTJeff Sims 1 Yd Run (Gavin Stewart Kick)13–23
- Q2 8:57SYRTaj Harris 46 Yd pass from Tommy DeVito (Andre Szmyt PAT blocked)6–23
- Q2 9:37GTJahmyr Gibbs 24 Yd pass from Jeff Sims (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)6–17
- Q1 1:22SYRSean Tucker 4 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick)0–17
- Q1 7:33SYRAndre Szmyt 47 Yd Field Goal 0–10
- Q1 8:54SYRSean Tucker 38 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick)0–7
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- GT lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 15% explosive on a 40% success rate
- PassJeff Sims 13/28, 174 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT
- RushJahmyr Gibbs 18 CAR, 105 YDS
- RecMalachi Carter 4 REC, 47 YDS
- PassTommy DeVito 13/24, 194 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushSean Tucker 24 CAR, 112 YDS, 2 TD
- RecNykeim Johnson 4 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsSYR up 10 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,140 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q3 1:29GT +22%
Jamious Griffin run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
- Q3 0:40SYR +18%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 43 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) GEORGIA TECH Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined
- Q1 8:54SYR +15%
Sean Tucker run for 38 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)
- Q3 1:29SYR +9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 15 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST down
- Q1 1:22SYR +9%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)
- Q2 5:10GT +9%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
FAQ
What was the final score of Georgia Tech vs. Syracuse?
Georgia Tech 20, Syracuse 37.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (SYR) was correct.
| GT | SYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 453 | Total yards | 357 |
| 178 | Passing yards | 194 |
| 275 | Rushing yards | 163 |
| 23 | First downs | 14 |
| 6-18 | 3rd down | 5-16 |
| 1-2 | 4th down | 1-3 |
| 15/32 | Comp/Att | 13/24 |
| 5.6 | Yards per pass | 8.1 |
| 5.3 | Yards per rush | 4.0 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 15-104 | Penalties | 7-85 |
| 34:08 | Possession | 25:52 |
Costliest call
Q4 8:10 GT go for it on 4th & 11 at GT 17. The model preferred punt, a gap of 1.20 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 8:10SYRTrill Williams 43 Yd Interception Return (Andre Szmyt Kick)20–37
- Q3 0:40SYRNykeim Johnson 43 Yd pass from Tommy DeVito (Andre Szmyt Kick)20–30
- Q3 1:29GTJamious Griffin 3 Yd Run (Gavin Stewart Kick)20–23
- Q2 5:10GTJeff Sims 1 Yd Run (Gavin Stewart Kick)13–23
- Q2 8:57SYRTaj Harris 46 Yd pass from Tommy DeVito (Andre Szmyt PAT blocked)6–23
- Q2 9:37GTJahmyr Gibbs 24 Yd pass from Jeff Sims (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)6–17
- Q1 1:22SYRSean Tucker 4 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick)0–17
- Q1 7:33SYRAndre Szmyt 47 Yd Field Goal 0–10
- Q1 8:54SYRSean Tucker 38 Yd Run (Andre Szmyt Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (SYR Elo 1418, GT Elo 1325 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects SYR -6.1 (67% to win) — 13.6 points clear of SYR's market line of +7.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2020
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#26 of 97 in 2020 by biggest miss · #49 of 107 in 2020 by longest odds.
The 2020 upset archive →| GT | SYR | |
|---|---|---|
| -3.6 (#78) | CORE overall | -23.3 (#118) |
| -0 / +3 | offense / defense | -22 / +2 |
| 1.82 | points / drive | 1.12 |
| 2.69 | allowed / drive | 2.41 |
| 29% | three-and-outs | 42% |
| -6 | pass over expected | +4 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →