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Taylor Thompson
Taylor Thompson

#17Taylor Thompson

TE·James Madison·2024

Taylor Thompson is a Red Zone Weapon TE for James Madison. Taylor's 2024 season produced 31.8 total EPA across 36 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.42
    Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.46
    Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Taylor Thompson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
33 Receptions448 Rec yards6 Rec TD13.6 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs TE peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume12
  • Explosiveness44
  • Consistency75
  • Pass-Down46
Player type
Red Zone Weapon TE

Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.

Red zone targetHigh TD rateSize/catch radius advantage
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency75th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.73 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 2.75 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Coastal Carolina (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.750−2.75Wk 1 vs Charlotte: +0.85 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Gardner-Webb: +0.47 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs North Carolina: +2.13 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Ball State: +2.01 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs UL Monroe: +0.93 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Coastal Carolina: +2.75 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Georgia Southern: -0.33 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Southern Miss: +1.30 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Georgia State: +1.46 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Old Dominion: +0.30 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs App State: -0.14 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Marshall: +1.03 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1@CharlotteW30-7-15.323015.00150.85
2vsGardner-WebbW13-6—3268.70130.47
4@North CarolinaW70-505.022613.01132.13
5vsBall StateW63-7-19.859118.21232.01
6@UL MonroeL19-21-16.755911.80160.93
7vsCoastal CarolinaW39-7-6.925829.01332.75
8@Georgia SouthernL14-28-1.73165.306-0.33
9vsSouthern MissW32-15-25.62157.51101.30
11vsGeorgia StateW38-7-17.934214.01201.46
12@Old DominionW35-32-6.022010.00140.30
13@App StateL20-34-8.1284.004-0.14
14vsMarshallL33-353.113636.00361.03
20vsWestern KentuckyW27-17-2.212121.0121—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
4.3%
Passing plays
9.3%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
4.4%
Passing downs
4.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.89
Passing downs
0.86
Pass / Rush EPA
0.88 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.