#3Rocco Becht

QB·Iowa State·2025 2024 2023

Rocco Becht is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Iowa State. Rocco's 2025 season ranks in the 3th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 421 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Rocco Becht's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

204/337 Comp/Att2565 Pass yards16 Pass TD9 INT60.5% Comp %

Rushing

111 Rush yards8 Rush TD87 Carries1.3 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency3
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency69
Clutch0

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)3th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency69th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.30 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.06 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs South Dakota.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
0	vsKansas State	W24-21	7.0	14/28	183	2	0	71.9	18	1	—
1	vsSouth Dakota	W55-7	—	19/20	278	3	0	95.4	15	0	1.06
2	vsIowa	W16-13	19.7	18/27	134	1	0	52.8	11	0	0.17
3	@Arkansas State	W24-16	-8.8	14/25	265	1	1	69.7	4	1	0.69
5	vsArizona	W39-14	12.0	14/20	243	0	1	94.6	-10	3	0.40
6	@Cincinnati	L30-38	4.5	30/48	314	2	0	47.2	17	2	0.21
7	@Colorado	L17-24	-8.3	18/33	205	0	1	36.2	31	0	-0.01
9	vsBYU	L27-41	15.9	24/36	311	1	3	35.5	-31	0	0.06
10	vsArizona State	L19-24	3.9	18/36	186	1	1	38.0	6	1	-0.01
11	@TCU	W20-17	8.3	9/24	111	1	2	58.3	22	0	0.08
13	vsKansas	W38-14	4.1	18/23	241	3	0	97.8	0	0	0.89
14	@Oklahoma State	W20-13	-15.1	8/17	94	1	0	37.4	28	0	0.22

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

51.2%

Passing plays

97.8%

Rushing plays

14.2%

Standard downs

40.2%

Passing downs

77.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.38
Passing downs: 0.18
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.27 / 0.51

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2023 — 2024 · 27 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2023	Iowa State	10.4	0.624	—	251.3
2024	Iowa State	6.2	0.416	-0.21	231.8

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.