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Robert Lewis
Robert Lewis

#14Robert Lewis

WR·Georgia State·2023

Robert Lewis is a Versatile WR for Georgia State. Robert's 2023 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 69 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Robert Lewis's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Receiving
70 Receptions881 Rec yards7 Rec TD12.6 Yards/rec
Returns
8 Kick returns163 KR yards0 KR TD1 Punt returns7 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume25
  • Explosiveness37
  • Consistency79
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency79th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸11 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.59 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 3.05 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Charlotte (SP+ -21).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+3.050−3.05Wk 1 vs Rhode Island: +1.05 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs UConn: +0.96 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Charlotte: +3.05 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Coastal Carolina: +1.63 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Troy: +0.77 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Marshall: +0.76 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Louisiana: +0.05 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Georgia Southern: +0.77 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs James Madison: +0.98 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs App State: +1.82 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs LSU: +0.55 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Old Dominion: +0.56 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsRhode IslandW42-35—79713.91391.05
2vsUConnW35-14-15.64307.51150.96
3@CharlotteW41-25-21.4622036.72973.05
4@Coastal CarolinaW30-17-1.233913.01141.63
5vsTroyL7-289.8611419.00490.77
7vsMarshallW41-24-9.04369.00160.76
8@LouisianaW20-170.44256.3080.05
9@Georgia SouthernL27-44-5.212978.11160.77
10vsJames MadisonL14-4211.82199.50140.98
11vsApp StateL14-423.845012.51361.82
12@LSUL14-5619.19637.00120.55
13@Old DominionL24-25-10.199110.10320.56

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
8.9%
Passing plays
20.4%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
8.3%
Passing downs
10.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.85
Passing downs
1.25
Pass / Rush EPA
0.99 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.
Robert Lewis Stats, EPA & Player Profile — Georgia State · Gridpex