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Michael Pettway
Michael Pettway

#1Michael Pettway

WR·Jacksonville State·2025

Michael Pettway is a Versatile WR for Jacksonville State.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Michael Pettway's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving
8 Receptions59 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.4 Yards/rec
Returns
2 Kick returns38 KR yards0 KR TD5 Punt returns16 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency17
  • Volume7
  • Explosiveness3
  • Consistency0
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)17th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs WR peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.89 from the first to second half of the season.
  • ▸Peak game: 1.68 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs Western Kentucky (SP+ 2).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Amare JonesTulane0.1800.012.8
Brandon ChatmanNavy0.2300.612.0
Amare JonesTulane0.2300.813.3
Eli HeidenreichNavy0.2200.815.4
Tyler BuchnerNotre Dame0.2500.312.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.680−1.68Wk 3 vs Georgia Southern: -0.23 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Murray State: +0.20 EPA/play4Wk 7 vs Sam Houston: +0.01 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Delaware: -0.78 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Middle Tennessee: -0.15 EPA/play10Wk 14 vs Western Kentucky: +1.68 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Kennesaw State: +0.54 EPA/play15
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
3@Georgia SouthernL34-41-9.4133.003-0.23
4vsMurray StateW45-10—11111.00110.20
7vsSam HoustonW29-27-27.82126.0080.01
8vsDelawareW38-25-10.9—————-0.78
10@Middle TennesseeW24-21-16.0—————-0.15
14vsWestern KentuckyW37-341.611818.00181.68
15vsKennesaw StateL15-19-5.42126.0090.54
20vsTroyW17-13-4.8133.003—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
2.5%
Passing plays
7.3%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
2.3%
Passing downs
3.2%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.21
Passing downs
0.55
Pass / Rush EPA
0.06 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.
Michael Pettway Stats, EPA & Player Profile — Jacksonville State · Gridpex