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LT Sanders

#4LT Sanders

LT Sanders is a Committee Back for Western Kentucky.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So LT Sanders's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing
103 Rush yards1 Rush TD21 Carries4.9 Yards/carry
Receiving
3 Receptions7 Rec yards0 Rec TD2.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume15
  • Explosiveness38
  • Consistency38
  • Receiving43
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency38th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.54 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.60 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Eastern Kentucky.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.6800.68Wk 1 vs Alabama: -0.37 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Eastern Kentucky: +0.60 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Middle Tennessee: +0.01 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Toledo: -0.16 EPA/play4Wk 7 vs UTEP: -0.17 EPA/play7Wk 13 vs Liberty: -0.54 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Jacksonville State: -0.68 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1@AlabamaL0-6325.0200.00140-0.37
2vsEastern KentuckyW31-04287.010.60
3@Middle TennesseeW49-21-24.48546.801200.01
4vsToledoW26-21-2.5111.00-0.16
7vsUTEPW44-17-22.74164.00-0.17
13@LibertyL21-380.2122.00110-0.54
14vsJacksonville StateW19-17-1.0122.00-0.68

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
5.1%
Passing plays
1.2%
Rushing plays
9.9%
Standard downs
5.3%
Passing downs
4.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.04
Passing downs
-0.24
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.43 / -0.06

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.