Lorenzo Lee Nunez

WR·South Carolina·20151.4 pts line value1st Round

Lorenzo Lee Nunez is a Versatile WR for South Carolina. Lorenzo's 2015 season ranks in the 75th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 101 plays — a above-average rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Lorenzo Lee Nunez's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2015 Production

Passing

32/52 Comp/Att376 Pass yards3 Pass TD3 INT61.5% Comp %

Rushing

375 Rush yards2 Rush TD59 Carries6.4 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2015 · vs WR peers

Efficiency75
Volume60
Explosiveness100
Consistency0
Pass-Down100

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)75th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the WR position (75th percentile).
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.57 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 2.61 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Texas A&M (SP+ 14).

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Keytaon Thompson	Mississippi State	2017	70	0.460	1.2	32.2
Kawaan Baker	South Alabama	2018	63	0.410	1.4	25.8
Kendall Hinton	Wake Forest	2015	84	0.460	2.4	38.6
DeAndre Hughes	Air Force	2021	60	0.470	1.3	28.2
Savion Williams	TCU	2024	56	0.450	1.1	25.2

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · EPA per play, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	EPA/play	Pass	Rush
2	vsKentucky	L22-26	-0.3	1.52	—	1.52
3	@Georgia	L20-52	16.8	0.42	-0.22	0.74
4	vsUCF	W31-14	-15.5	0.46	0.53	0.37
5	@Missouri	L10-24	3.4	0.15	-0.04	0.64
9	@Texas A&M	L28-35	14.1	2.61	—	2.61
10	@Tennessee	L24-27	19.5	-0.46	—	-0.46
11	vsFlorida	L14-24	13.8	-2.35	—	-2.35
13	vsClemson	L32-37	24.0	0.46	-0.74	0.72

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

21.1%

Passing plays

24.2%

Rushing plays

19.3%

Standard downs

18.7%

Passing downs

25.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.21
Passing downs: 0.53
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.18 / 0.56

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2015 · 8 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.