#11Logan Woodside

QB·Toledo·2017 201610.7 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Logan Woodside is a 2-year Clutch Passer for Toledo. Logan's 2017 season ranks in the 80th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 432 plays — a above-average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Logan Woodside's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2017 Production

Passing

264/411 Comp/Att3882 Pass yards28 Pass TD8 INT64.2% Comp %

Rushing

34 Rush yards1 Rush TD51 Carries0.7 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2017 · vs QB peers

Efficiency80
Volume100
Dual-Threat27
Consistency77
Clutch58

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)80th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency77th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the QB position (80th percentile).
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Peak game: 0.94 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Akron (SP+ -18).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0
Tanner Mordecai	SMU	2021	510	0.630	14.0	321.5
Kaidon Salter	Liberty	2023	486	0.711	14.7	345.6
Malik Cunningham	Louisville	2021	502	0.681	14.7	341.6
Ryan Higgins	Louisiana Tech	2016	571	0.586	13.7	334.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsElon	W47-13	—	19/31	314	0	0	74.9	-7	0	0.30
2	@Nevada	W37-24	-16.4	19/27	232	2	0	87.3	-1	0	0.69
3	vsTulsa	W54-51	-10.7	22/33	458	6	1	92.8	-1	0	0.73
4	@Miami	L30-52	17.4	28/48	342	3	0	72.4	16	0	0.33
6	vsEastern Michigan	W20-15	-5.3	23/34	289	0	0	62.3	-9	0	0.15
7	@Central Michigan	W30-10	-8.6	10/18	89	0	0	41.3	11	1	0.23
8	vsAkron	W48-21	-17.6	17/24	304	5	1	93.2	39	0	0.94
9	@Ball State	W58-17	-19.7	8/17	267	3	0	87.0	9	0	0.89
10	vsNorthern Illinois	W27-17	-1.4	23/31	361	0	0	76.2	17	0	0.47
11	@Ohio	L10-38	3.3	24/35	263	1	0	55.4	-29	0	-0.07
12	@Bowling Green	W66-37	-10.0	13/18	232	2	0	97.6	3	0	0.90
13	vsWestern Michigan	W37-10	-2.4	19/29	300	2	1	75.8	3	0	0.71
14	vsAkron	W45-28	-17.6	23/37	307	4	2	86.6	14	0	0.36
1	vsApp State	L0-34	3.8	16/29	124	0	3	9.6	-31	0	-0.17

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

45.9%

Passing plays

97.3%

Rushing plays

5.6%

Standard downs

39.4%

Passing downs

60.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.40
Passing downs: 0.49
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.47 / 0.03

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2016 — 2017 · 26 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2016	Toledo	15.4	0.740	—	302.7
2017	Toledo	10.7	0.600	-0.14	255.6

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.