#3Latrell Caples

WR·Boise State·2025

Latrell Caples is a Slot Specialist WR for Boise State. Latrell's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 77 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Latrell Caples's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

51 Receptions616 Rec yards3 Rec TD12.1 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume24
Explosiveness34
Consistency59
Pass-Down100

Player type

Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency59th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.52 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.00 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Air Force (SP+ -3).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Malik Dunner	Ball State	2017	76	0.290	0.4	22.0
Noah Short	Army	2024	69	0.300	0.5	20.7
Chris Tyree	Notre Dame	2020	76	0.310	0.6	23.6
Xavier White	Texas Tech	2020	62	0.300	0.5	18.6
Ainias Smith	Texas A&M	2020	55	0.310	0.5	17.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	@South Florida	L7-34	11.6	4	58	14.5	0	16	0.39
2	vsEastern Washington	W51-14	—	1	11	11.0	0	11	0.39
4	@Air Force	W49-37	-3.2	5	87	17.4	0	31	1.00
5	vsApp State	W47-14	-11.4	5	84	16.8	2	34	0.88
6	@Notre Dame	L7-28	24.4	6	52	8.7	0	13	0.34
8	vsUNLV	W56-31	4.3	1	7	7.0	1	7	0.36
9	@Nevada	W24-3	-13.4	3	35	11.7	0	13	-0.06
10	vsFresno State	L7-30	1.8	1	16	16.0	0	16	-0.31
12	@San Diego State	L7-17	6.7	7	42	6.0	0	13	0.22
13	vsColorado State	W49-21	-15.6	7	70	10.0	0	16	0.32
14	@Utah State	W25-24	-3.1	3	52	17.3	0	23	0.39
15	vsUNLV	W38-21	4.3	3	32	10.7	0	17	-0.44
20	vsWashington	L10-38	18.4	5	70	14.0	0	22	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

8.4%

Passing plays

17.3%

Rushing plays

0.4%

Standard downs

6.4%

Passing downs

12.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.09
Passing downs: 0.57
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.36 / -1.18

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).