#7Jaron Glover

WR·Michigan State·2024

Jaron Glover is a Versatile WR for Michigan State.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jaron Glover's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving

15 Receptions192 Rec yards2 Rec TD12.8 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume12
Explosiveness39
Consistency80
Pass-Down100

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency80th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.12 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 2.83 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Oregon (SP+ 26).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsFlorida Atlantic	W16-10	-12.7	—	—	—	—	—	0.29
2	@Maryland	W27-24	-3.9	6	84	14.0	1	34	1.49
5	vsOhio State	L7-38	31.2	4	53	13.3	1	24	1.53
6	@Oregon	L10-31	26.0	1	13	13.0	0	13	2.83
8	vsIowa	W32-20	15.8	2	8	4.0	0	6	0.06
12	@Illinois	L16-38	9.6	1	12	12.0	0	12	1.13
14	vsRutgers	L14-41	6.4	1	22	22.0	0	22	2.47

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

4.1%

Passing plays

6.5%

Rushing plays

1.5%

Standard downs

3.6%

Passing downs

5.2%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.74
Passing downs: 2.28
Pass / Rush EPA: 1.45 / 1.04

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).