#3Jaren Hall

QB·BYU·20227.8 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Jaren Hall is a Dual-Threat QB for BYU. Jaren's 2022 season ranks in the 43th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 437 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jaren Hall's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2022 Production

Passing

248/376 Comp/Att3171 Pass yards31 Pass TD6 INT66.0% Comp %

Rushing

346 Rush yards3 Rush TD86 Carries4.0 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2022 · vs QB peers

Efficiency43
Volume100
Dual-Threat70
Consistency87
Clutch68

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)43th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency87th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.76 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Utah Tech.

NIL Market Tier· 2022

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@South Florida	W50-21	-17.0	25/32	261	2	1	82.5	15	0	0.35
2	vsBaylor	W26-20	11.7	23/39	261	1	0	69.4	28	0	0.28
3	@Oregon	L20-41	18.9	29/41	305	2	0	77.5	19	0	0.24
4	vsWyoming	W38-24	-10.8	26/32	337	4	0	91.0	17	0	0.54
5	vsUtah State	W38-26	-13.3	17/27	274	3	0	62.6	-15	0	0.46
6	vsNotre Dame	L20-28	10.3	9/17	120	2	1	53.9	11	0	0.45
7	vsArkansas	L35-52	12.0	26/41	356	3	1	69.6	23	0	0.46
8	@Liberty	L14-41	-1.5	16/34	187	2	0	63.7	24	0	0.05
9	vsEast Carolina	L24-27	1.1	18/25	144	2	0	78.9	60	0	0.35
10	@Boise State	W31-28	5.7	29/42	377	3	2	89.7	82	1	0.38
12	vsUtah Tech	W52-26	—	23/35	456	5	1	84.7	13	1	0.76
13	@Stanford	W35-26	-7.2	7/11	93	2	0	95.4	69	1	0.43

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

59.8%

Passing plays

99.7%

Rushing plays

20.4%

Standard downs

55.2%

Passing downs

70.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.36
Passing downs: 0.50
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.46 / 0.25

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2022 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.