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Jared Hollins

#7Jared Hollins

Jared Hollins is a Clutch Passer for South Alabama.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jared Hollins's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing
12/16 Comp/Att101 Pass yards1 Pass TD0 INT75.0% Comp %
Rushing
-5 Rush yards0 Rush TD1 Carries-5.0 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume18
  • Dual-Threat0
  • Consistency36
  • Clutch78
Player type
Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency36th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among QBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 1.00 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Southern Miss (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.0001.00Wk 1 vs Morgan State: +0.62 EPA/play1Wk 5 vs North Texas: -0.46 EPA/play5Wk 13 vs Southern Miss: +1.00 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Texas State: -0.10 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsMorgan StateW38-211/180098.00.62
5@North TexasL22-3613.81/1-3008.4-0.46
13vsSouthern MissW42-35-7.13/3350097.11.00
14@Texas StateL26-492.37/1161106.5-50-0.10

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
6.3%
Passing plays
14.9%
Rushing plays
0.6%
Standard downs
6.9%
Passing downs
4.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.52
Passing downs
0.71
Pass / Rush EPA
0.72 / -0.28

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.
Jared Hollins Stats, EPA & Player Profile — South Alabama · Gridpex