#11Jake Fromm

QB·Georgia·2019 2018 20177.2 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Jake Fromm is a 3-year Clutch Passer for Georgia. Jake's 2019 season ranks in the 57th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 400 plays — a average rate for the QB. Production has trended downward season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jake Fromm's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2017

★★★★★

4-Star · High major target

Stars: ★★★★★
247 composite: 0.9794
National rank: #44
High school: Houston County
Hometown: Warner Robins, GA

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2019 Production

Passing

234/385 Comp/Att2860 Pass yards24 Pass TD5 INT60.8% Comp %

Rushing

-12 Rush yards0 Rush TD38 Carries-0.3 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2019 · vs QB peers

Efficiency57
Volume100
Dual-Threat0
Consistency69
Clutch63

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)57th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency69th %ile · average

Career trajectory:↓ Declining

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸Production has slipped season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.
▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Peak game: 0.76 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Arkansas State (SP+ -3).

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Vanderbilt	W30-6	-10.4	15/23	156	1	0	70.7	—	—	0.01
2	vsMurray State	W63-17	—	10/11	166	1	0	95.5	-9	0	0.51
3	vsArkansas State	W55-0	-2.9	17/22	279	3	0	97.0	6	0	0.76
4	vsNotre Dame	W23-17	17.7	20/26	187	1	0	75.2	15	0	0.43
6	@Tennessee	W43-14	10.8	24/29	288	2	0	90.7	5	0	0.71
7	vsSouth Carolina	L17-20	4.8	28/51	295	1	3	34.0	6	0	-0.10
8	vsKentucky	W21-0	9.1	9/12	35	0	0	6.5	2	0	-0.20
10	vsFlorida	W24-17	24.0	20/30	279	2	0	—	12	0	0.74
11	vsMissouri	W27-0	7.8	13/29	173	2	0	—	-6	0	0.26
12	@Auburn	W21-14	21.0	13/28	110	3	0	—	-8	0	-0.00
13	vsTexas A&M	W19-13	15.0	11/23	163	1	0	—	-20	0	0.14
14	@Georgia Tech	W52-7	-12.0	14/29	254	4	0	—	1	0	0.49
15	vsLSU	L10-37	33.1	20/42	225	1	2	—	-4	0	0.04
1	vsBaylor	W26-14	17.8	20/30	250	2	0	—	-12	0	0.40

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

43.8%

Passing plays

93.0%

Rushing plays

5.1%

Standard downs

38.1%

Passing downs

56.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.23
Passing downs: 0.35
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.33 / -0.48

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2017 — 2019 · 43 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2017	Georgia	8.8	0.670	—	210.4
2018	Georgia	11.7	0.770	+0.10	250.2
2019	Georgia	7.2	0.520	-0.25	212.2

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.