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Gavin Sawchuk

#27Gavin Sawchuk

Gavin Sawchuk is a Explosive Back for Northwestern.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Gavin Sawchuk's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2026 Production

Rushing
69 Rush yards0 Rush TD8 Carries8.6 Yards/carry
Returns
1 Kick returns15 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume41
  • Explosiveness100
  • Consistency50
  • Receiving0
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDEPA/play
1vsSouth Dakota StateW34-188698.600.60

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
14.5%
Passing plays
0.0%
Rushing plays
28.6%
Standard downs
13.9%
Passing downs
15.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.45
Passing downs
0.85
Pass / Rush EPA
— / 0.60

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.