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DJ Scott

#7DJ Scott

DJ Scott is a Explosive Back for North Dakota State. DJ's 2026 season produced 8.4 total EPA across 37 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So DJ Scott's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2026 Production

Rushing
145 Rush yards2 Rush TD36 Carries4.0 Yards/carry
Receiving
5 Receptions36 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2026 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency65
  • Volume59
  • Explosiveness20
  • Consistency50
  • Receiving58
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)65th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.83 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Fordham.

NIL Market Tier· 2026

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.8300.83Wk 1 vs Fordham: +0.83 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Air Force: -0.07 EPA/play2
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
0vsJacksonville StateW33-7-7.013513.902120
1vsFordhamW38-011605.5221600.83
2@Air ForceW38-321.112342.80180-0.07

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
20.6%
Passing plays
6.6%
Rushing plays
30.5%
Standard downs
23.9%
Passing downs
12.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.20
Passing downs
0.34
Pass / Rush EPA
0.69 / 0.16

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.