#7Chamon Metayer

TE·Cincinnati·2023

Chamon Metayer is a Red Zone Weapon TE for Cincinnati.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.42
Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
Total EPA (value)0.46
Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Chamon Metayer's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Receiving

23 Receptions258 Rec yards5 Rec TD11.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs TE peers

Efficiency100
Volume11
Explosiveness28
Consistency66
Pass-Down100

Player type

Red Zone Weapon TE

Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.

Red zone targetHigh TD rateSize/catch radius advantage

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency66th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 1.08 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 3.65 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Miami (OH) (SP+ 3).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
2	@Pittsburgh	W27-21	-7.3	2	7	3.5	0	6	-0.26
3	vsMiami (OH)	L24-31	2.8	—	—	—	—	—	3.65
4	vsOklahoma	L6-20	15.0	3	50	16.7	0	35	1.42
5	@BYU	L27-35	-3.3	3	59	19.7	2	27	1.71
7	vsIowa State	L10-30	7.5	4	43	10.8	1	20	1.35
8	vsBaylor	L29-32	-8.3	5	50	10.0	0	13	1.66
10	vsUCF	L26-28	3.4	2	11	5.5	0	7	0.06
11	@Houston	W24-14	-7.8	1	1	1.0	0	1	-0.87
12	@West Virginia	L21-42	7.5	3	37	12.3	2	30	1.34

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

3.9%

Passing plays

8.4%

Rushing plays

0.3%

Standard downs

4.0%

Passing downs

3.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.84
Passing downs: 2.30
Pass / Rush EPA: 1.15 / 3.65

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).