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Camar Wheaton

Camar Wheaton

RB·SMU·2023

Camar Wheaton is a Committee Back for SMU. Camar's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 60 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Camar Wheaton's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing
410 Rush yards5 Rush TD83 Carries4.9 Yards/carry
Receiving
3 Receptions44 Rec yards0 Rec TD14.7 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume33
  • Explosiveness38
  • Consistency0
  • Receiving14
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • Peak game: 0.56 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Tulsa (SP+ -14).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.5900.59Wk 3 vs Prairie View A&M: +0.18 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs TCU: +0.35 EPA/play4Wk 8 vs Temple: +0.02 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Tulsa: +0.56 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Rice: -0.59 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs North Texas: +0.44 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Memphis: +0.18 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Navy: -0.01 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Tulane: -0.33 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
3vsPrairie View A&MW69-016754.710.18
4@TCUL17-347.916734.610.35
8@TempleW55-0-21.07162.3011300.02
9vsTulsaW69-10-13.79808.9212500.56
10@RiceW36-31-10.2111.00-0.59
11vsNorth TexasW45-21-6.77517.310.44
12@MemphisW38-343.59515.700.18
13vsNavyW59-14-13.711464.20160-0.01
14@TulaneW26-142.86172.80-0.33
20vsBoston CollegeL14-23-5.9100.00

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
11.6%
Passing plays
0.9%
Rushing plays
20.2%
Standard downs
13.8%
Passing downs
5.6%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.17
Passing downs
-0.20
Pass / Rush EPA
0.39 / 0.11

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.