#1Braylon Braxton

QB·Marshall·2024

Braylon Braxton is a Dual-Threat QB for Marshall. Braylon's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 318 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Braylon Braxton's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

124/206 Comp/Att1624 Pass yards19 Pass TD2 INT60.2% Comp %

Rushing

610 Rush yards4 Rush TD134 Carries4.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat66
Consistency72
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency72th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.11 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.78 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Stony Brook.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsStony Brook	W45-3	—	7/11	141	2	0	79.6	18	0	0.78
4	@Ohio State	L14-49	31.2	1/4	2	0	0	34.1	9	0	-0.14
6	vsApp State	W52-37	-8.1	8/14	129	3	0	86.8	140	2	0.70
7	@Georgia Southern	L23-24	-1.7	9/12	92	2	0	58.4	36	0	0.25
8	vsGeorgia State	W35-20	-17.9	11/20	132	1	1	40.6	72	0	0.15
10	vsUL Monroe	W28-23	-16.7	10/19	166	1	0	43.8	25	0	0.12
11	@Southern Miss	W37-3	-25.6	14/21	220	1	1	59.8	59	1	0.33
12	vsCoastal Carolina	W31-19	-6.9	20/31	219	3	0	58.3	30	0	0.23
13	@Old Dominion	W42-35	-6.0	13/24	210	3	0	89.3	140	0	0.45
14	@James Madison	W35-33	7.5	13/24	120	1	0	45.1	15	1	0.01
15	@Louisiana	W31-3	4.8	18/26	193	2	0	68.7	66	0	0.19

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

47.3%

Passing plays

75.5%

Rushing plays

28.7%

Standard downs

42.0%

Passing downs

59.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.12
Passing downs: 0.53
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.29 / 0.23

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).