#2Austin Aune

QB·North Texas·20229.5 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Austin Aune is a Dual-Threat QB for North Texas. Austin's 2022 season ranks in the 75th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 430 plays — a above-average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Austin Aune's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2022 Production

Passing

232/409 Comp/Att3547 Pass yards33 Pass TD15 INT56.7% Comp %

Rushing

52 Rush yards1 Rush TD44 Carries1.2 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2022 · vs QB peers

Efficiency75
Volume100
Dual-Threat63
Consistency83
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)75th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency83th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the QB position (75th percentile).
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 1.02 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Florida International (SP+ -26).

NIL Market Tier· 2022

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0
Tanner Mordecai	SMU	2021	510	0.630	14.0	321.5
Ryan Higgins	Louisiana Tech	2016	571	0.586	13.7	334.6
Malik Cunningham	Louisville	2021	502	0.681	14.7	341.6
Kaidon Salter	Liberty	2023	486	0.711	14.7	345.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@UTEP	W31-13	-10.7	16/29	236	3	0	82.7	15	0	0.25
1	vsSMU	L10-48	4.7	14/29	186	0	2	69.0	6	0	0.25
2	vsTexas Southern	W59-27	—	11/20	218	4	0	80.4	15	0	0.57
3	@UNLV	L27-58	-11.9	17/29	305	2	2	81.0	-11	0	0.53
4	@Memphis	L34-44	6.8	27/49	371	3	2	27.5	-3	0	0.23
5	vsFlorida Atlantic	W45-28	-7.1	14/20	180	3	1	76.5	9	0	0.78
7	vsLouisiana Tech	W47-27	-17.8	11/20	196	2	1	85.8	4	0	0.95
8	@UTSA	L27-31	7.2	15/31	325	3	1	60.2	-10	0	0.58
9	@Western Kentucky	W40-13	1.7	20/28	322	3	0	87.6	-5	0	0.63
10	vsFlorida International	W52-14	-25.5	25/34	414	5	2	89.3	20	0	1.02
11	@UAB	L21-41	-0.5	15/32	159	1	0	62.1	6	1	0.21
13	vsRice	W21-17	-15.2	16/29	203	2	0	39.5	-6	0	0.30
14	@UTSA	L27-48	7.2	14/28	194	1	2	—	12	0	0.25
1	vsBoise State	L32-35	5.7	17/31	238	1	2	—	0	0	0.18

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

45.7%

Passing plays

93.8%

Rushing plays

7.0%

Standard downs

39.0%

Passing downs

61.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.26
Passing downs: 0.81
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.50 / 0.22

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2022 · 14 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.