Merrimack vs. Delaware: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
MERRTeam statsDEL
- Q4 14:48DELN. Minicucci pass to N. Tyree for 8 yds, for a TD (T. Smack KICK)7–42
- Q3 0:58MERRGalamama Mulbah 7 Yd Run (Guytano Bartolomeo Kick)7–35
- Q3 9:11DELKaderris Roberts 75 Yd pass from Nick Minicucci (Tucker Smack Kick)0–35
- Q3 10:35DELKaderris Roberts 1 Yd Run (Tucker Smack Kick)0–28
- Q2 0:16DELSean Wilson 12 Yd pass from Nick Minicucci (Tucker Smack Kick)0–21
- Q2 3:55DELNick Minicucci 12 Yd Run (Tucker Smack Kick)0–14
- Q1 7:35DELV. Ellison Jr. run for 11 yds, for a TD (T. Smack KICK)0–7
How the model called it
Delaware was in control wire to wire. What the rout was actually built on.
Nick Minicucci scored 18 of Delaware's points. They rout Merrimack, 42-7 at Delaware Stadium. Delaware led from start to finish and never let Merrimack within striking distance. Nick Minicucci threw for 330 yards on 36 attempts with two touchdowns and ran five times for 13 yards and one score.
- PassCole Meehan 10/25, 121 YDS
- RushGalamama Mulbah 7 CAR, 41 YDS, 1 TD
- RecMatthias Latham 3 REC, 36 YDS
- PassNick Minicucci 20/36, 330 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushNakeem Powell 5 CAR, 35 YDS
- RecKaderris Roberts 2 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsDEL up 35 entering the 4th quarter. Across 276 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Merrimack vs. Delaware?
Merrimack 7, Delaware 42.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (DEL) was correct.
| MERR | DEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 244 | Total yards | 547 |
| 196 | Passing yards | 435 |
| 48 | Rushing yards | 112 |
| 13 | First downs | 27 |
| 4-16 | 3rd down | 6-13 |
| 1-3 | 4th down | 1-1 |
| 21/45 | Comp/Att | 24/44 |
| 4.4 | Yards per pass | 9.9 |
| 1.9 | Yards per rush | 3.9 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 7-55 | Penalties | 4-45 |
| 31:49 | Possession | 27:18 |
Costliest call
Q2 14:55 MERR field goal on 4th & 1 at DEL 28. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 1.12 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 14:48DELN. Minicucci pass to N. Tyree for 8 yds, for a TD (T. Smack KICK)7–42
- Q3 0:58MERRGalamama Mulbah 7 Yd Run (Guytano Bartolomeo Kick)7–35
- Q3 9:11DELKaderris Roberts 75 Yd pass from Nick Minicucci (Tucker Smack Kick)0–35
- Q3 10:35DELKaderris Roberts 1 Yd Run (Tucker Smack Kick)0–28
- Q2 0:16DELSean Wilson 12 Yd pass from Nick Minicucci (Tucker Smack Kick)0–21
- Q2 3:55DELNick Minicucci 12 Yd Run (Tucker Smack Kick)0–14
- Q1 7:35DELV. Ellison Jr. run for 11 yds, for a TD (T. Smack KICK)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects DEL -25.4 (93% to win) — 6.1 points clear of MERR's market line of -31.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Nick Minicucci produced seven of Delaware's ten explosive plays
Delaware was in control wire to wire. What the rout was actually built on.
The big plays only went one way
Delaware produced 10 plays of 15+ yards to Merrimack's 4, chiefly Nick Minicucci (involved in 7), Sean Wilson (involved in 2) and Viron Ellison Jr. (involved in 1). Delaware scored on 40% of its drives to Merrimack's 7%: Nick Minicucci (18 pts), Viron Ellison Jr. (12 pts) and Kaderris Roberts (12 pts). Stacked together, it was never close.
The standouts
Nick Minicucci threw for 330 yards on 36 attempts with two touchdowns and ran five times for 13 yards and one score, including three of them from inside the 20, five third-down conversions and a hand in seven plays of 15 yards or more. Viron Ellison Jr. threw for 75 yards on one attempts with one touchdown and ran three times for 17 yards and one score, including that score from inside the 20. Kaderris Roberts ran five times for 13 yards and one score and caught two passes for 80 yards, one of them for a touchdown — that score from inside the 20. For Merrimack, Matthias Latham ran six times for 17 yards and caught three passes for 36 yards. Galamama Mulbah ran seven times for 41 yards and one score and caught one pass for 10 yards, including that score from inside the 20. Kenyon Massey caught five passes for 34 yards. George Mullins was the disruptive one for Delaware: 1 INT, 1.5 tackles.
What Merrimack has to fix
The problems had names: DeMarcus McElroy (1 lost fumble).
The defensive story
Two names to keep: George Mullins (1 INT, 1.5 tackles) for Delaware and Bertin Placide (1 INT, 1 PBU, 3 tackles) for Merrimack. 4 of Delaware's 6 sacks came from the defensive line.
The takeaway
Historically similar games since 2019 — close margin, both offenses held far below norm — and how often that offense outperformed this level the following week.
Delaware did exactly what a better team should against Merrimack: leave no doubt. Galamama Mulbah was responsible for 6 of Merrimack's points; there was not enough behind him.
Our coverage of this game
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →